Bitcoin Cash Price Prediction 2026-2030: The Critical $1000 Milestone Revealed

  vor 8 Monaten

BitcoinWorld Bitcoin Cash Price Prediction 2026-2030: The Critical $1000 Milestone Revealed As of May 2025, the cryptocurrency market continues its evolution, with Bitcoin Cash (BCH) presenting a compelling case for long-term analysis. This article provides a detailed, experience-driven examination of Bitcoin Cash price predictions from 2026 through 2030, specifically addressing the pivotal question of whether BCH can achieve the $1000 threshold. Our analysis integrates verifiable market data, adoption trends, and technical fundamentals to offer a neutral perspective on future valuation scenarios. Bitcoin Cash Price Prediction: Foundation and Market Context Bitcoin Cash emerged in 2017 from a hard fork of the Bitcoin blockchain. Consequently, its primary value proposition centers on scalability and utility as peer-to-peer electronic cash. The network’s larger block size facilitates faster and cheaper transactions compared to its predecessor. Market analysts consistently monitor several core metrics to inform their Bitcoin Cash price predictions. These metrics include on-chain transaction volume, active address growth, and hash rate security. Furthermore, broader cryptocurrency market cycles and regulatory developments significantly influence BCH’s price trajectory. Historical data shows BCH often correlates with major market movements while asserting its unique value drivers. Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 2026-2027 A thorough price prediction requires dissecting both technical chart patterns and fundamental network health. On the technical side, analysts observe key resistance and support levels established over multiple market cycles. For instance, the $500-$600 zone has historically acted as a significant barrier. Fundamentally, the adoption of BCH for merchant payments and remittances provides tangible utility. Projects like the Bitcoin Cash Node implementation and ongoing development roadmaps contribute to long-term viability. Network upgrades, such as improved smart contract capabilities, could potentially enhance its ecosystem. Market sentiment, often measured through social dominance and development activity indices, also plays a crucial role in short to medium-term price action. Expert Insights and Comparative Valuation Financial institutions and independent analysts employ various models for cryptocurrency valuation. Some models compare BCH’s market capitalization to potential addressable markets in global payments. Other approaches use network value-to-transaction (NVT) ratios or stock-to-flow derivatives. Notably, analysts from firms like CoinShares and ARK Invest have published research on Bitcoin’s scaling solutions, which indirectly informs the BCH narrative. A comparative analysis with other payment-focused cryptocurrencies like Litecoin (LTC) or stablecoin adoption rates provides additional context. The potential for integration with traditional finance (TradFi) platforms and payment processors remains a critical watchpoint for 2026-2027 forecasts. The Road to 2030: Macro Factors and the $1000 Question The path to 2030 introduces complex macro-economic variables. Global inflation rates, monetary policy shifts, and the potential for widespread central bank digital currency (CBDC) adoption will create a new financial landscape. Bitcoin Cash’s proposition as decentralized electronic cash must compete within this evolving framework. Achieving a $1000 price point implies a substantial increase in market capitalization from 2025 levels. This milestone would require a combination of massive organic adoption, favorable regulatory clarity, and sustained network security. Scenarios include BCH capturing a specific niche in micro-transactions or emerging markets where traditional banking is limited. Conversely, increased competition from layer-2 solutions on other blockchains presents a significant challenge. Risk Assessment and Volatility Considerations All cryptocurrency price predictions, including those for Bitcoin Cash, must account for inherent volatility and risk. Market cycles characterized by bull and bear phases are a proven historical pattern. External risks encompass regulatory crackdowns in major economies, technological vulnerabilities, or shifts in miner economics. Investors should consider portfolio allocation strategies rather than speculative bets on a single price target. Diversification across asset classes remains a cornerstone of prudent financial planning. The cryptocurrency market’s relative youth means past performance does not guarantee future results, a principle emphasized by financial regulators worldwide. Conclusion This Bitcoin Cash price prediction analysis for 2026 through 2030 outlines a data-informed framework for evaluating BCH’s potential. The question of whether Bitcoin Cash can hit $1000 depends on a confluence of technological adoption, market dynamics, and macro-financial trends. While the milestone is mathematically plausible within a sustained bull market, it is not guaranteed. Ultimately, informed participants will monitor on-chain metrics, development progress, and real-world use cases to gauge the network’s long-term value proposition beyond mere price speculation. FAQs Q1: What is the main factor that could drive Bitcoin Cash to $1000? The primary driver would be substantial, sustained adoption of BCH as a medium of exchange for everyday transactions, significantly increasing its network utility and demand versus its circulating supply. Q2: How does Bitcoin Cash’s technology differ from Bitcoin’s in terms of price potential? Bitcoin Cash prioritizes larger blocks for lower fees and faster payments. This practical focus could attract a different value driver based on transactional use rather than pure store-of-value narratives, influencing its price discovery independently. Q3: Are institutional investments affecting Bitcoin Cash price predictions? While institutional interest in crypto is growing, it has historically focused more on Bitcoin and Ethereum. Significant institutional adoption of BCH through ETFs or corporate treasuries would be a major positive factor for long-term price models, but this remains speculative as of 2025. Q4: What is a major risk to Bitcoin Cash’s price growth by 2030? A key risk is technological obsolescence or out-competition by other blockchain networks or payment systems that offer superior scalability, privacy, or regulatory compliance, eroding BCH’s market share. Q5: Where can I find reliable data to follow for my own Bitcoin Cash analysis? Reliable data sources include blockchain explorers like Blockchair for on-chain metrics, repositories like GitHub for development activity, and aggregated sentiment and volume data from established crypto analytics platforms such as Glassnode or Santiment. This post Bitcoin Cash Price Prediction 2026-2030: The Critical $1000 Milestone Revealed first appeared on BitcoinWorld .

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Bitmine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) Announces ETH Holdings Reach 4.423 Million Tokens, and Total Crypto and Total Cash Holdings of $9.6 Billion

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Bitmine has 3,040,483 staked ETH, representing $6.0 billion at $1,958 per ETH; MAVAN staking solution on track to launch Q1 2026 Bitmine now owns 3.66% of the ETH token supply, over 73% of the way to the 'Alchemy of 5%' in just 7 months Bitmine recently closed on initial $200 million investment into Beast Industries Bitmine Crypto + Total Cash Holdings + "Moonshots" total $9.6 billion, including 4.423 million ETH tokens, total cash of $691 million, and other crypto holdings Bitmine leads crypto treasury peers by both the velocity of raising crypto NAV per share and by the high trading liquidity of BMNR stock Bitmine is the 165th most traded stock in the US, trading $0.7 billion per day (5-day avg) Bitmine remains supported by a premier group of institutional investors including ARK's Cathie Wood, MOZAYYX, Founders Fund, Bill Miller III, Pantera, Kraken, DCG, Galaxy Digital and personal investor Thomas "Tom" Lee to support Bitmine's goal of acquiring 5% of ETH LAS VEGAS, Feb. 23, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- (NYSE AMERICAN: BMNR) Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. ("Bitmine" or the "Company") a Bitcoin and Ethereum Network company with a focus on the accumulation of crypto for long term investment, today announced Bitmine crypto + total cash + "moonshots" holdings totaling $9.6 billion. As of February 22th, 2026 at 6:00pm ET, the Company's crypto holdings are comprised of 4,422,659 ETH at $1,958 per ETH (NASDAQ: COIN), 193 Bitcoin (BTC), $200 million stake in Beast Industries, $17 million stake in Eightco Holdings (NASDAQ: ORBS) ("moonshots") and total cash of $691 million. Bitmine's ETH holdings are 3.66% of the ETH supply (of 120.7 million ETH). "In the midst of this 'mini crypto winter,' our focus continues to be on methodically executing our treasury strategy and steadily acquiring ETH and in turn, optimizing the yield on our ETH holdings," said Thomas "Tom" Lee, Chairman of Bitmine. "We discussed this operational strategy in our latest Chairman's message (the link to his message is here ). While crypto prices are attempting to find their respective lows, the three fundamental drivers for Ethereum continue to gain traction: (i) Wall Street and their efforts at tokenization; (ii) AI and agentic-AI using smart blockchains for both execution and for collecting payments and (iii) the emerging creator economy and their desire to use blockchains for verification," continued Lee. "In the past week, we acquired 51,162 ETH," continued Lee. "Bitmine has been steadily buying Ethereum, as we view this pullback as attractive, given the strengthening fundamentals. In our view, the price of ETH is not reflective of the high utility of ETH and its role as the future of finance." As of February 22, 2026, Bitmine total staked ETH stands at 3,040,483 ($6.0 billion at $1,958 per ETH). "Bitmine has staked more ETH than other entities in the world. At scale (when Bitmine's ETH is fully staked by MAVAN and its staking partners), the ETH staking rewards is $249 million annually (using 2.89% 7-day BMNR yield)," stated Lee. "Annualized staking revenues are now $171 million. And this 3.0 million ETH is about 69% of the 4.4 million ETH held by Bitmine. The CESR (Composite Ethereum Staking Rate, administered by Quatrefoil ) is 2.81%, while Bitmine's own staking operations generated a 7-day yield of 2.89% (annualized). We continue to make progress on our staking solution known as The Made in America VAlidator Network (MAVAN). This will be the 'best-in-class' solution offering secure staking infrastructure and will be deployed in early calendar 2026. Bitmine is currently working with 3 staking providers as the Company moves towards unveiling MAVAN in 2026," continued Lee. Bitmine crypto holding reigns as the #1 Ethereum treasury and #2 global treasury, behind Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ: MSTR), which owns 717,131 BTC valued at $49 billion. Bitmine remains the largest ETH treasury in the world. Bitmine is one of the most widely traded stocks in the US. According to data from Fundstrat, the stock has traded average daily dollar volume of $0.7 billion (5-day average, as of February 20, 2026), ranking #165 in the US, behind Carnival Corp (rank #164) and ahead of Northrup Grumman (rank #166) among 5,704 US-listed stocks ( statista.com and Fundstrat research). The GENIUS Act and Securities and Exchange Commission's ("the SEC") Project Crypto are as transformational to financial services in 2025 as US action on August 15, 1971 ending Bretton Woods and the USD on the gold standard 54 years ago. This 1971 event was the catalyst for the modernization of Wall Street, creating the iconic Wall Street titans and financial and payment rails of today. These proved to be better investments than gold. The Chairman's message can be found here: https://www.Bitminetech.io/chairmans-message The Fiscal Full Year 2025 Earnings presentation and corporate presentation can be found here: https://Bitminetech.io/investor-relations/ To stay informed, please sign up at: https://Bitminetech.io/contact-us/ About Bitmine Bitmine (NYSE AMERICAN: BMNR) is the leading Ethereum Treasury company in the world, implementing an innovative digital asset strategy for institutional investors and public market participants. Guided by its philosophy of "the alchemy of 5%," the Company is committed to ETH as its primary treasury reserve asset, leveraging native protocol-level activities including staking and decentralized finance mechanisms. The Company will launch MAVAN (Made-in America VAlidator Network), a dedicated staking infrastructure for Bitmine assets, in Q1 of 2026. For additional details, follow on X: https://x.com/bitmnr https://x.com/fundstrat https://x.com/bmnrintern Forward Looking Statements This press release contains statements that constitute "forward-looking statements." The statements in this press release that are not purely historical are forward-looking statements which involve risks and uncertainties. This document specifically contains forward-looking statements regarding progress and achievement of the Company's goals regarding ETH acquisition and staking, the long-term value of Ethereum, continued growth and advancement of the Company's Ethereum treasury strategy and the applicable benefits to the Company. In evaluating these forward-looking statements, you should consider various factors, including Bitmine's ability to keep pace with new technology and changing market needs; Bitmine's ability to finance its current business, Ethereum treasury operations and proposed future business; the competitive environment of Bitmine's business; and the future value of Bitcoin and Ethereum. Actual future performance outcomes and results may differ materially from those expressed in forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are subject to numerous conditions, many of which are beyond Bitmine's control, including those set forth in the Risk Factors section of Bitmine's Form 10-K filed with the SEC on November 21, 2025, as well as all other SEC filings, as amended or updated from time to time. Copies of Bitmine's filings with the SEC are available on the SEC's website at www.sec.gov . Bitmine undertakes no obligation to update these statements for revisions or changes after the date of this release, except as required by law. Disclaimer: This is a sponsored press release and is for informational purposes only. It does not reflect the views of Crypto Daily, nor is it intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, or financial advice.

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Cardano Price Prediction 2026-2030: The Ultimate Guide to ADA’s Potential $2 Milestone

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BitcoinWorld Cardano Price Prediction 2026-2030: The Ultimate Guide to ADA’s Potential $2 Milestone Global cryptocurrency markets continue evolving rapidly, with Cardano (ADA) maintaining significant attention from investors and analysts. This comprehensive analysis examines ADA price predictions from 2026 through 2030, exploring whether the digital asset could realistically reach the $2 threshold. Market data from December 2024 shows Cardano trading within established ranges while development teams advance the network’s capabilities. Cardano Price Prediction: Analyzing the 2026 Outlook Financial analysts approach Cardano’s 2026 price prediction with cautious optimism. Several factors will influence ADA’s trajectory during this period. The completion of Cardano’s Voltaire governance phase represents a crucial development milestone. This upgrade introduces community-led treasury and voting systems. Network adoption metrics provide essential context for price evaluation. Currently, Cardano supports numerous decentralized applications across various sectors. Market sentiment typically responds to technological advancements and partnership announcements. Institutional adoption patterns also affect cryptocurrency valuations significantly. Historical data reveals Cardano’s price often correlates with broader market cycles. However, the project’s unique proof-of-stake consensus mechanism differentiates its economic model. Energy efficiency advantages may attract environmentally conscious investors as regulatory landscapes evolve. Technical and Fundamental Analysis Framework Analysts employ multiple methodologies when forecasting cryptocurrency prices. Technical analysis examines historical price patterns and trading volumes. Fundamental assessment evaluates network activity, developer engagement, and protocol upgrades. The table below summarizes key prediction ranges from established analysis firms: Year Conservative Estimate Moderate Estimate Optimistic Scenario 2026 $0.75 – $1.10 $1.10 – $1.50 $1.50 – $1.80 2027 $0.90 – $1.30 $1.30 – $1.75 $1.75 – $2.10 2030 $1.25 – $1.80 $1.80 – $2.50 $2.50 – $3.50 These projections consider several critical variables. Market capitalization growth potential remains a primary consideration. Additionally, circulating supply dynamics influence price movements substantially. Cardano’s staking mechanisms currently lock significant portions of available ADA. This reduced liquid supply could create upward pressure during high-demand periods. ADA Price Trajectory Toward 2027: Critical Factors The 2027 Cardano price prediction incorporates longer-term developmental timelines. By this period, the network should demonstrate mature decentralized governance. Real-world adoption metrics will provide concrete evidence of utility. Several industries show promising integration potential with Cardano’s blockchain technology: Supply Chain Management: Transparency solutions for agricultural and pharmaceutical sectors Digital Identity: Sovereign identity systems for emerging economies Financial Services: Microfinance and remittance platforms leveraging low transaction costs Education Credentials: Verifiable academic records and professional certifications Government Systems: Voting mechanisms and public record management Market analysts emphasize macroeconomic conditions when projecting 2027 valuations. Global regulatory clarity will significantly impact cryptocurrency adoption rates. Traditional financial institution involvement may increase liquidity and stability. Technological competition remains intense within the blockchain sector. Consequently, Cardano must continue demonstrating unique value propositions. Network effect dynamics will determine whether ADA captures substantial market share. Expert Perspectives on Market Cycles Industry researchers reference historical cryptocurrency patterns while acknowledging unprecedented developments. The 2024-2025 market cycle established new institutional participation benchmarks. Bitcoin exchange-traded fund approvals created legitimization precedents. These developments potentially benefit alternative cryptocurrencies like Cardano through increased overall market capitalization. However, correlation studies show ADA sometimes moves independently during specific market phases. Academic research from leading universities provides additional context. Stanford University’s Blockchain Research Center published analysis on proof-of-stake adoption curves. Their findings suggest networks achieving critical mass in developer activity typically experience accelerated growth. Cardano’s academic foundation and peer-reviewed approach attract particular attention from this research community. These methodological distinctions might influence long-term network resilience. The 2030 Horizon: Long-Term Cardano Valuation Drivers Projecting Cardano’s price to 2030 requires examining technological and adoption trajectories. The blockchain industry will likely mature significantly during this period. Several potential scenarios could unfold for ADA and similar digital assets. First, widespread decentralized application adoption might create substantial utility demand. Second, regulatory frameworks could either facilitate or hinder growth across jurisdictions. Third, technological breakthroughs might alter competitive landscapes entirely. Demographic shifts toward digital asset ownership represent another crucial consideration. Younger generations show increasing comfort with cryptocurrency investments. Additionally, global financial inclusion initiatives might leverage blockchain solutions. Cardano’s focus on emerging markets positions it advantageously for these developments. Network scalability improvements through Hydra layer-2 solutions could enable mass adoption. Transaction throughput increases would support more complex applications and higher user volumes. Environmental, social, and governance (ESG) investment criteria continue gaining prominence. Cardano’s energy-efficient consensus mechanism aligns with sustainability trends. Institutional investors increasingly consider these factors when allocating capital. Consequently, ADA might attract dedicated sustainability-focused investment vehicles. Green cryptocurrency funds already monitor proof-of-stake networks for inclusion. This specialized demand could create additional price support mechanisms. Comparative Analysis with Blockchain Competitors Realistic price predictions require examining Cardano’s competitive positioning. The blockchain ecosystem features numerous smart contract platforms with overlapping functionalities. Ethereum maintains dominant market share despite transitioning to proof-of-stake. Solana emphasizes high throughput for consumer applications. Polkadot enables specialized blockchain interoperability. Each project employs distinct technical approaches and governance models. Cardano’s methodical development philosophy represents both advantage and challenge. The research-driven approach minimizes technical debt and security vulnerabilities. However, slower feature deployment sometimes cedes first-mover advantages to competitors. Market dynamics suggest multiple blockchain platforms can coexist successfully. Different use cases might favor specific technical architectures. Cardano’s formal verification capabilities appeal particularly to financial and identity applications requiring high assurance. Will ADA Price Realistically Reach $2? The $2 price threshold represents a psychologically significant milestone for Cardano. Achieving this valuation depends on multiple converging factors. Market capitalization calculations provide mathematical context for this target. At current circulating supply levels, a $2 ADA price implies approximately $70 billion total valuation. This represents substantial growth from current levels but remains within historical cryptocurrency market parameters. Several catalysts could propel Cardano toward this valuation. Major partnership announcements with established corporations would increase credibility. Additionally, breakthrough decentralized applications achieving viral adoption would demonstrate utility. Regulatory clarity in major economies might reduce investment uncertainty. Furthermore, technological advancements solving real-world problems at scale would justify higher valuations. Finally, broader cryptocurrency market expansion during bull cycles typically lifts all major assets. Risk factors also warrant careful consideration. Technological vulnerabilities or security incidents could undermine confidence. Regulatory crackdowns in significant markets might restrict growth. Competitive innovations could capture market share unexpectedly. Moreover, macroeconomic downturns often reduce risk asset valuations across all categories. Prudent investors balance these potential outcomes when evaluating long-term positions. Investment Considerations and Risk Management Financial advisors consistently emphasize portfolio diversification and risk assessment. Cryptocurrency investments typically represent high-volatility allocations within broader portfolios. Position sizing should reflect individual risk tolerance and investment horizons. Dollar-cost averaging strategies mitigate timing risks for long-term investors. Furthermore, secure storage solutions protect digital assets from technical threats. Cold storage hardware wallets provide enhanced security for substantial holdings. Educational resources help investors make informed decisions. Cardano’s official documentation details technological fundamentals thoroughly. Independent analysis from multiple sources provides balanced perspectives. Historical price charts illustrate volatility patterns characteristic of cryptocurrency markets. Understanding these dynamics prepares investors for various market conditions. Professional financial advice remains essential for significant investment decisions. Conclusion Cardano price predictions from 2026 through 2030 involve complex variables and uncertainties. The possibility of ADA reaching $2 depends on technological execution, market adoption, and broader industry trends. Current analysis suggests this milestone remains achievable under favorable conditions. However, investors should maintain realistic expectations about timelines and probabilities. The blockchain sector continues evolving rapidly, with Cardano positioned as a significant participant. Informed decision-making requires ongoing monitoring of network developments and market dynamics. This Cardano price prediction analysis provides frameworks for evaluating future scenarios as the digital asset ecosystem matures. FAQs Q1: What factors most influence Cardano’s price predictions? Cardano’s price predictions primarily depend on network adoption rates, technological development milestones, broader cryptocurrency market trends, regulatory developments, and competitive positioning within the blockchain ecosystem. Q2: How does Cardano’s proof-of-stake mechanism affect its price potential? The Ouroboros proof-of-stake consensus provides energy efficiency advantages that may attract environmentally conscious investors. It also enables ADA staking, which reduces circulating supply and could create upward price pressure during high-demand periods. Q3: What technological developments could boost ADA’s price toward $2? Key developments include the full implementation of Voltaire governance, scaling solutions like Hydra layer-2 protocols, increased decentralized application adoption, and partnerships demonstrating real-world utility across industries. Q4: How do expert predictions for ADA vary between 2026 and 2030? Expert predictions generally show increasing price ranges over time, with 2026 estimates typically between $0.75-$1.80, 2027 estimates between $0.90-$2.10, and 2030 estimates between $1.25-$3.50, reflecting anticipated network maturation and adoption. Q5: What risks could prevent Cardano from reaching higher price targets? Potential risks include security vulnerabilities, regulatory restrictions in major markets, intense competition from other blockchain platforms, technological execution challenges, and broader macroeconomic conditions that reduce cryptocurrency demand. This post Cardano Price Prediction 2026-2030: The Ultimate Guide to ADA’s Potential $2 Milestone first appeared on BitcoinWorld .

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South Korea debates bank control over won stablecoins

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South Korea’s stablecoin framework is facing renewed scrutiny as the country’s central bank urges lawmakers to keep control of won-pegged digital tokens within the traditional banking system. In a report submitted to the Bank of Korea’s parliamentary oversight body, the central bank raised concerns about privately issued stablecoins. It warned that such tokens could weaken monetary policy transmission, disrupt foreign exchange oversight, and create broader financial stability risks. The intervention comes as the National Assembly Strategy and Finance Committee continues deliberations on who should be allowed to issue won-backed digital assets and how much authority banks should hold. Monetary and forex concerns In its submission to lawmakers, the Bank of Korea described won stablecoins as currency-like substitutes. It said their rollout must account not only for potential industrial or technological gains but also for implications for monetary policy, foreign exchange stability, and systemic risk. The central bank reiterated that stablecoins could be used to bypass foreign exchange regulations, including prior reporting requirements. If issued outside the banking system, such tokens could move value across borders in ways that complicate supervision. According to local reporting , the bank cautioned that non-bank issuance could dilute existing regulatory safeguards and reduce oversight effectiveness. Banking principles at stake Beyond macroeconomic concerns, the Bank of Korea also raised structural issues. It argued that allowing non-bank entities to issue won-pegged stablecoins independently could conflict with South Korea’s separation of banking and commerce principles. Banks, the central bank noted, already operate under capital adequacy rules, governance standards, and compliance frameworks. For instruments that function similarly to money, it said, these safeguards are critical. The report therefore recommended that commercial banks should be permitted to issue won stablecoins first. Any broader participation by non-bank institutions, the central bank added, should be introduced gradually. Expansion beyond banks would require detailed risk assessments and a clear supervisory structure. Legislative friction over eligibility The debate unfolds as lawmakers work to finalise a delayed stablecoin framework. A central sticking point remains issuer eligibility. Some proposals would open issuance to a wider range of financial and technology firms. Others would grant banks a dominant or exclusive role in any issuing entity. How much control banks should exercise, whether through direct issuance or through equity stakes in stablecoin operators, remains under discussion. The Bank of Korea’s report effectively reinforces a bank-first model, placing monetary and foreign exchange considerations at the centre of legislative talks. Safeguards and global reference While highlighting risks, the central bank acknowledged that programmable stablecoins could support digital asset innovation and serve as payment tools. However, it emphasised the need for structural safeguards. Among the measures floated were a bank-centred consortium model and the creation of a statutory interagency policy body to coordinate approvals and supervision across regulators. Such a mechanism could reduce fragmentation and ensure consistent oversight. The Bank of Korea cited the GENIUS Act in the United States as an example of cross-agency supervision involving the Treasury Department, the Federal Reserve, and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. The post South Korea debates bank control over won stablecoins appeared first on Invezz

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IBIT: It Makes Sense To Take A Bite

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Summary iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF has plunged 22.6% in 2026, tracking Bitcoin's sharp decline from its 2025 peak. IBIT is the largest U.S. passive crypto ETF, highly liquid, but carries a Strong Sell Quant Rating due to momentum and risk. I see potential for a technical bounce from oversold levels, with an expected return of 17.8% to the end of 2026, though downside risk remains substantial. I currently hold a small IBIT position for tactical trading, not as a core investment, and may consider a modest allocation in my ETF model portfolio. I created an ETF watch list in December that now numbers 83, and iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF ( IBIT ) was one of the initial members. The ETF is down a lot in 2026 and has been acting poorly for many months now. In this piece, I discuss the ETF and explain why I bought some. What IBIT Is iShares, a leading ETF company owned by BlackRock ( BLK ), launched IBIT in early 2024. The ETF, which trades on the NASDAQ, has a single investment: bitcoins. The iShares website hosts a page for the IBIT ETF , and, as of 2/20, IBIT had 1.33 billion shares outstanding. At a closing price of $38.42, this works out to $51.2 billion. This is the largest of the 10 passive cryptocurrency ETFs that trade in the U.S. by far. The ETF has a management fee of 0.25%. This seems high relative to similar-sized ETFs that iShares runs, but it is the same as the larger Gold Trust ETF ( IAU ) that iShares runs and below the 0.40% fee of the much larger Gold Trust ETF ( GLD ) that State Street runs. Bitcoin is just one of many cryptocurrencies, and it has seen its price rise dramatically over the years: TradingView While Bitcoin has dropped in price by nearly 50% from the high set in 2025, it is still up a lot since early 2023. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies can act as a store of value. The size of Bitcoin is over $1 trillion, with almost 20 million of the total allowed of 21 million currently mined. It is part of a secure ledger due to blockchain technology. Precious metals have been soaring this year and for the past few years. Bitcoin, which has historically moved in the same direction as gold, has vastly underperformed it recently. Here are the past six months for SPDR Gold Shares ( GLD ) and Bitcoin: YCharts Silver has done even better, with iShares Silver Trust ( SLV ) gaining 116.8%. Looking back three years, Bitcoin and Gold have performed very similarly: YCharts Going further back, Bitcoin has far outpaced gold's rally. Since the end of 2019, Bitcoin has gained 845.5%, while GLD is up 227.9%. How IBIT Has Plunged IBIT, which launched slightly over two years ago, is still above its early price that saw an all-time low near $22, but it has dropped dramatically since its peak in 2025 and is currently down 22.6% in 2026: Schwab Think or Swim IBIT is down because Bitcoin is down! It has left several gaps in prices on the way down. The trading volume has picked up a lot. Over the past month, it has traded an average of 82.3 million shares per day. On the day that it posted a recent low, the ETF traded 284 million shares. I am no cryptocurrency expert, but I understand that mining Bitcoins uses a lot of energy. In 2026, Energy stocks have exploded higher, and artificial intelligence uses a lot of energy. Semiconductors have rallied substantially too, as AI uses semiconductors intensively. So, AI may be a challenge for IBIT. Gold and silver are used by AI too. Here is the chart of these sectors over the past six months: YCharts IBIT has a Strong Sell Quant Rating at Seeking Alpha due to momentum and risk. GLD has a Strong Buy Quant Rating , as does SLV. iShares Semiconductor ETF ( SOXX ) and State Street Energy Select SPDR ETF ( XLE ) both have Quant ratings of Buy. IBIT was rated a Strong Buy during the summer and became a Buy in the fall. The rating fell to its current Strong Sell in early November. IBIT is risky due to its sole focus on Bitcoin, which is extremely volatile. It is managed by a strong company, iShares, and it is large and liquid. Why IBIT May Rally How IBIT performs will depend on how Bitcoin performs. IBIT is not the only investment pegged to Bitcoin, as there are other ETFs. There are also two stocks that I have been watching closely recently that are pegged to Bitcoin, Coinbase Global ( COIN ) and Strategy, Inc. ( MSTR ). COIN, which went public in April 2021 via a direct listing, is the largest cryptocurrency exchange and, at $171.35, has a market cap of $45.3 billion. MSTR transformed itself into a Bitcoin treasury company, was founded in 1989 and is run by Michael Saylor. The market cap at $131.05 is $43.7 billion. These two large-caps have tracked Bitcoin since COIN went public, though MSTR went up a lot more in 2024: YCharts In 2026, IBIT has dropped about the same as Bitcoin, losing 22.6%, while COIN is down 24.2% and MSTR has dropped 13.8%. Each of them has lifted off the recent lows, IBIT down the most in February: YCharts COIN posted a multi-year low a bit after the lows in IBIT and MSTR, and it is now down the least in February. While the market caps of IBIT, COIN and MSTR are similar, the potential investors in an ETF versus a company are different. IBIT and these two stocks are very beaten up and may be bouncing. Looking at the six-month chart, IBIT has several open gaps, and it could fill some of those if it bounces further: Schwab Think or Swim Again, the volume on the day it posted a new 52-week low was massive and could prove to be the low. The next day, IBIT moved higher but failed to fill the gap that it left in trading on 2/5. I see resistance on the chart just above that gap at $41, which would represent a gain of 6.7%. The next gap is much higher, and I see some resistance above it at $47, which is below the 50-day moving average and near the November low of $46.68. IBIT's low on 2/5 of $35.30 was 51% below the all-time high in October. A 38.2% Fibonacci retracement would get IBIT to $49.25, below the resistance I see at $50, but a 28.2% gain. IBIT trades near its net asset value, and how it performs will depend entirely on what Bitcoin does. How Bitcoin does will depend on many factors. It bottomed out in August 2024, which was ahead of the presidential elections, near $49,000, and a return to that level would be a loss of 28% for the cryptocurrency. It ended 2025 at about $87,000, and that would represent a gain of about 28%. It could go up more, and it could drop more as well. Looking out a year, I estimate that Bitcoin could be unchanged at year-end, and I weight this scenario at 50%. Bitcoin has tracked gold for many years, and gold is up a lot in 2026. While it could do worse than get back to the August 2024 lows, I weight this scenario at 25%. I didn't discuss the bullish scenario, but if Bitcoin does half of what Gold has done in 2026 so far, it would end the year up 9%. Assuming that IBIT tracks Bitcoin, the prices would be $27.66 in the bear case (which is lower than the closing low of 2024), $49.65 in the neutral case, and $54.12 in the bullish scenario. This works out to be an expected price of $45.27, which is 17.8% higher than the price at the close on 2/20. In my view, many have been shaken out of Bitcoin and IBIT. I am glad to see COIN, which trades at 3X its book value and has a forward PE of 42X for 2026, rallying, and perhaps some traders and investors will consider adding to IBIT. Conclusion I am no big fan of Bitcoin, but I have followed it for a few years. I think that there is a potential opportunity for a bounce from a very oversold price at 33% below its 150-day moving average with several open gaps above. I have shared some projections that give an expected return of 17.8% in 2026, though the ETF could go down a lot more than I expect. I bought IBIT for the first time ever on 2/5 and exited it profitably. I bought it again and trimmed most of it profitably. I currently own a small amount. I don't include it in my ETF model portfolio, though I am considering adding a small amount. IBIT is not for everybody, and it is more of a trading vehicle than a true investment.

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Strategy Boosts Bitcoin Holdings with Landmark Tenth Purchase

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Strategy made its 100th Bitcoin purchase, bringing total holdings to 717,722 coins. The company funded the latest acquisition by selling its own shares, raising nearly $40 million. Continue Reading: Strategy Boosts Bitcoin Holdings with Landmark Tenth Purchase The post Strategy Boosts Bitcoin Holdings with Landmark Tenth Purchase appeared first on COINTURK NEWS .

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