Victim loses $50M USDT funneled through Tornado Cash

  vor 2 Tagen

A crypto investor became a victim of a major $50 million USDT fraud after sending funds to a poisoned address by mistake. SlowMist, a blockchain security firm, revealed that, within 30 minutes of receiving the $50 million USDT, the attacker converted the whole sum into DAI via MetaMask Swap. The blockchain security firm stated that the hacker converted the entire sum into 16,690 ETH and channeled 16,680 ETH through Tornado Cash to conceal the transaction trail. Etherscan on-chain data revealed that the transaction timestamps show that the attack happened within minutes. Web3 wallets targeted in high-value hacks 30 mins after receiving 50M $USDT , the scammer took action: • Swapped 50M $USDT to $DAI via MetaMask Swap • Swapped all $DAI to 16,690 $ETH • Deposited 16,680 $ETH into Tornado Cash The scammer addresses: 0xbaff2f13638c04b10f8119760b2d2ae86b08f8b5… https://t.co/ySGWtg3VIB pic.twitter.com/3BsWndrrJC — SlowMist (@SlowMist_Team) December 20, 2025 Initially, on-chain data revealed that the user submitted a small test transaction of 0.005 USDT to the correct address. A few minutes later, the victim transferred $50 million to a poisoned address, 0xBaFF2F13638C04B10F8119760B2D2aE86b08f8b5, which was copied from the transaction history. Etherscan revealed that the test transaction occurred at 06:20:35 and the massive transfer occurred at 06:32:59. The wallet has been active for almost two years of on-chain activity. The victim mostly used the wallet for USDT transactions. Web3 Antivirus revealed that the $50 million was withdrawn from Binance just before the tainted transfer. For the time being, the stolen USDT remains at the target address. The attack follows the recent attack on the 0G Foundation . The 0G Foundation reported on December 13 that the incentive contract was violated due to a targeted attack that occurred on December 11. The firm stated that the attacker stole 520,010 0G tokens, 9.93 ETH, and USDT worth approximately $4,200 by exploiting the emergency withdrawal provision of the 0G reward contract, which is used to distribute alliance benefits. Similar to the recent attack, the firm mentioned that the tokens were then bridged and distributed through Tornado Cash. The 0G Foundation explained that the attacker moved laterally via internal IP addresses due to a serious Next.js vulnerability (CVE-2025-66478) that was exploited on December 5. The report stated that the breach affected services such as calibration, validator nodes, Gravity NFT services, node sales services, computing, Aiverse, Perpdex, Ascend, etc. However, according to the report, the attack did not affect the core chain infrastructure or user funds. The report revealed that Foundation immediately took action by shutting down and rebuilding the impacted services, as well as revoking and rotating all compromised keys. Additionally, the company purchased and implemented an enhanced AliCloud Firewall + Security Suite and addressed critical dependencies, including Next.js. On May 3, the Web3 anti-fraud platform Scam Sniffer announced that a whale had lost 1,155 WBTC, equivalent to approximately $70 million. According to Scam Sniffer, the $70 million loss happened as a result of a phishing attack using the same address with the same first and final digits. On-chain data revealed that the funds were transferred from the victim’s address 0x1E227979f0b5BC691a70DEAed2e0F39a6F538FD5 to a phishing address 0xd9A1C3788D81257612E2581A6ea0aDa244853a91. Notably, the victim’s target transfer address was 0xd9A1b0B1e1aE382DbDc898Ea68012FfcB2853a91. Analysis using the on-chain tracing tool MistTrack showed that the hacker swapped 1,155 WBTC for 22,955 ETH and moved them to ten different addresses. Crypto thefts increase, most targeting personal wallets Blockchain analytics company Chainalysis said that cryptocurrency theft totaled more than $3.41 billion between January and early December 2025. According to the blockchain intelligence firm, the amount exceeds the $3.38 billion from the previous year. Chainalysis claimed that $1.5 billion hack of the Bybit exchange accounted for approximately 44% of the annual total of crypto hacks. The blockchain intelligence firm argued that the top three attacks accounted for 69% of all service losses, demonstrating the growing seriousness of significant breaches. According to Chainalysis, assaults against private keys on centralized cryptocurrency services and personal cryptocurrency wallets have significantly increased this year. The firm stated that personal wallet compromises have increased rapidly from just 7.3% of the total stolen value in 2022 to 44% in 2024. The blockchain analytics firm claimed that at least 80,000 distinct victims were involved in 158,000 instances of personal wallet intrusions. The overall amount of money taken from people decreased to $713 million from $1.5 billion the year before. Join a premium crypto trading community free for 30 days - normally $100/mo.

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Arthur Hayes Shifts $2M ETH to DeFi Tokens, Suggesting Persistent Altcoin Opportunities Amid Range-Bound Trading

  vor 2 Tagen

Arthur Hayes, BitMEX co-founder, has transferred 680 ETH worth $2 million into top DeFi tokens, highlighting ongoing altcoin opportunities in the crypto market. This move signals confidence in high-yield DeFi projects amid Ethereum's stagnant trading range, urging traders to focus on emerging winners like Hyperliquid and Solana. Hayes rotates 680 ETH ($2M) into DeFi protocols, [...]

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Stunning Prediction: Markets Bet 55% on Hassett as Next Fed Chair

  vor 2 Tagen

BitcoinWorld Stunning Prediction: Markets Bet 55% on Hassett as Next Fed Chair In a stunning development for political and financial observers, cryptocurrency prediction markets are placing their bets. The digital crowd is signaling a strong belief that Kevin Hassett could be the next Fed Chair . With odds hovering around 55%, these decentralized platforms offer a real-time, money-backed glimpse into a potential seismic shift at the world’s most powerful central bank. What does this speculative frenzy tell us, and why should the crypto world care? Why Are Prediction Markets Focused on the Next Fed Chair? The race for the next Fed Chair is more than a personnel decision; it’s a referendum on future monetary policy. When President Trump mentioned considering both Kevin Hassett and Kevin Warsh, it sent ripples through traditional and digital markets alike. Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi allow users to trade contracts based on the outcome of real-world events. The current odds represent the collective wisdom—and financial stake—of thousands of traders. A 55% probability is significant, indicating a clear, though not certain, favorite emerging from the crowd. Who is Kevin Hassett and What Would His Appointment Mean? Kevin Hassett is no stranger to economic policy. As a former Chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers and a longtime economist, his views are well-documented. However, his potential role as the next Fed Chair raises critical questions for different sectors: For Traditional Finance: Analysts would scrutinize his past writings on inflation, interest rates, and regulatory approach. For Cryptocurrency: The community would keenly watch for any historical comments on digital assets, blockchain technology, and financial innovation. For the Broader Economy: His stance on issues like quantitative tightening, bank regulation, and employment goals would set the tone for years. The speculation itself creates market volatility, as investors attempt to price in a potential new regime at the Federal Reserve. How Reliable Are Crypto Prediction Markets for Political Forecasting? While traditional polls measure opinion, prediction markets measure conviction with real money. This “skin in the game” factor is why many analysts watch them closely. The platforms aggregating bets on the next Fed Chair have a mixed but intriguing track record. They often react faster to new information than traditional media. However, users must remember key points: They reflect current trader sentiment, which can change rapidly. Market liquidity impacts accuracy; major events attract more reliable volume. They are a supplement to, not a replacement for, deep fundamental analysis. The 55% odds for Hassett show a confident trend, but the remaining 45% uncertainty is a reminder that nothing is decided. What Are the Immediate Implications for Crypto and Traders? The direct link between a potential next Fed Chair and cryptocurrency prices may seem indirect, but it is profound. The Federal Reserve controls the dollar’s monetary policy, influencing global liquidity, risk appetite, and inflation expectations—all key drivers for digital asset valuations. For traders, this creates both risk and opportunity: Monitor the Odds: Sharp moves in prediction market probabilities can precede volatility in traditional markets. Assess the Candidates: Research each potential chair’s historical views on innovation and private money. Stay Agile: Political appointments are unpredictable; have a strategy for different outcomes. The very existence of active crypto markets for this event highlights the growing intersection between decentralized finance and global geopolitics. Conclusion: A High-Stakes Guessing Game with Real Consequences The betting on the next Fed Chair is more than a political parlor game. It represents a fascinating fusion of cryptocurrency technology with high-stakes forecasting. A 55% chance gives Kevin Hassett the edge in the eyes of the market, but the final decision rests in the political arena. For investors and crypto enthusiasts, this episode underscores a crucial lesson: the decentralized wisdom of the crowd is becoming an increasingly powerful tool to gauge future events that shape our financial reality. Staying informed on these speculative signals is now part of a savvy market participant’s toolkit. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) Q1: What are prediction markets? A: Prediction markets are platforms where users can buy and sell contracts based on the outcome of future events. The trading price reflects the market’s collective probability of that event occurring. Q2: Why is the next Fed Chair important for cryptocurrency? A: The Federal Reserve Chair influences interest rates and monetary policy, which affect the value of the US dollar, global liquidity, and investor risk appetite—all critical factors for crypto market dynamics. Q3: How accurate have these crypto prediction markets been in the past? A: They have had notable successes and failures. Their accuracy often improves for high-profile, binary events with significant trading volume, but they should not be considered infallible. Q4: Who is Kevin Warsh, the other candidate mentioned? A: Kevin Warsh is a former Federal Reserve Governor and a frequent commentator on monetary policy. He is often seen as a more traditional, hawkish candidate compared to some others. Q5: Can anyone bet on who becomes the next Fed Chair? A: On platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, yes, subject to geographic restrictions and platform rules. Users deposit cryptocurrency to trade outcome shares. Q6: What happens to the prediction market bets after the chair is announced? A: Contracts for the correct outcome settle at $1.00, and contracts for the wrong outcome settle at $0.00. Traders profit or lose based on their positions. Found this insight into the high-stakes world of political prediction markets fascinating? This is where finance meets the future. Share this article on X (Twitter) or LinkedIn to spark a conversation with your network about the future of the Fed and crypto. To learn more about the latest cryptocurrency trends, explore our article on key developments shaping Bitcoin and Ethereum price action. This post Stunning Prediction: Markets Bet 55% on Hassett as Next Fed Chair first appeared on BitcoinWorld .

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XRP’s Crazy Price Potential People Just Don’t Understand

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In a recent post accompanied by a detailed video explanation, Jesse of Apex Crypto Insights outlined a view of XRP that places it outside the conventional classification of digital assets. Rather than treating it as a speculative token or a category peer of meme-based cryptocurrencies, he framed XRP as infrastructure designed for a specific function within global finance. His commentary focused on how XRP is structured to support the movement of value at scale, particularly across borders, and why this design is often misunderstood when compared with more familiar crypto narratives. Jesse emphasized that XRP’s purpose cannot be reduced to short-term market dynamics. He argued that its limited supply should be evaluated in the context of its intended role, which he described as facilitating value exchange on a global level . In this framing, the numerical size of the supply is less important than the function it serves within a broader system of interconnected financial flows. XRP isn't just another coin! it's designed to peg the world's value to a limited asset or to at bridge all of it's flows!. When regulators talk about global stablecoins, they're describing XRP— a means of exchange for cross-border transactions. pic.twitter.com/2I8Q6OY2eN — Apex Crypto Insights (NFA) (@APEXCONSULTNFA) December 17, 2025 XRP as an Internet of Value Mechanism A central theme in the video was the idea that XRP operates as part of an open network rather than as a product of a single company. Jesse described the XRP Ledger, along with interoperability frameworks such as the Interledger Protocol, as forming an internet-like structure for value transfer. Within this structure, the token is positioned as the mechanism that captures and represents value flowing through the network. This perspective treats XRP as analogous to a protocol-level asset rather than a standalone digital commodity. According to Jesse, this distinction is critical to understanding why XRP is referenced in high-level policy conversations about the future of cross-border payments. He emphasized that the system is designed to enable efficient exchange between different currencies and financial systems, rather than functioning as a closed or proprietary platform. Regulatory Conversations and the Global Stablecoin Concept Jesse also addressed how regulators and central bankers describe what they call a global stablecoin. He noted that these discussions tend to focus less on price pegs to a single currency and more on the practical role of a medium of exchange used internationally. In his explanation, a global stablecoin is defined by its utility in cross-border transactions and by its ability to be supported by a diverse set of underlying assets across jurisdictions. Within that definition, Jesse argued that XRP aligns closely with the stated criteria. He maintained that when policymakers describe the characteristics required for such a global instrument, they are effectively outlining the functional role that XRP already plays. This, in his view, differentiates XRP from traditional stablecoins, which are typically tied to a single fiat currency and designed primarily for price stability rather than large-scale value transfer. We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1 — TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025 A Distinct Po sition in the Digital Asset Landscape By drawing these connections, Jesse presented XRP as a specialized tool built for global exchange rather than a general-purpose cryptocurrency. His analysis focused on function over branding, stressing that XRP’s relevance emerges from its use as a medium of exchange across borders. In this context, he concluded that XRP represents a distinct category within the digital asset ecosystem, one defined by infrastructure and utility rather than by speculation or novelty. Disclaimer : This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses. Follow us on X , Facebook , Telegram , and Google News The post XRP’s Crazy Price Potential People Just Don’t Understand appeared first on Times Tabloid .

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Hyperliquid Whale Makes Stunning $12.1 Million HYPE Accumulation in Just 14 Days

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BitcoinWorld Hyperliquid Whale Makes Stunning $12.1 Million HYPE Accumulation in Just 14 Days In a move that has captured the attention of the crypto community, a significant Hyperliquid whale has executed a massive accumulation strategy. Over a remarkably short two-week period, this major investor purchased 490,000 HYPE tokens, a stake valued at a staggering $12.1 million. This activity signals powerful confidence and provides a fascinating case study in high-stakes cryptocurrency investment. Who Is This Hyperliquid Whale and What’s the Strategy? The investor, identified by the wallet address beginning with 0x72b23, is not new to the HYPE token. Their recent $12.1 million purchase is actually part of a larger, ongoing accumulation pattern. This provides crucial context for understanding their current moves. Previously, between July and October of this year, the same entity acquired 580,000 HYPE, worth approximately $14.4 million at the time. This establishes a clear pattern of long-term belief in the asset rather than short-term speculation. What Does This Major Hyperliquid Whale Activity Reveal? The scale and speed of this accumulation are noteworthy. However, the story includes a strategic twist. After the initial $14.4 million purchase, the Hyperliquid whale transferred 323,000 HYPE (worth around $8 million) to the Hyperliquid platform itself. Possible Staking: The transfer could indicate the whale is staking tokens to earn rewards, suggesting a long-term hold strategy. Platform Utilization: Moving assets onto Hyperliquid may signal intent to use the platform’s decentralized exchange (DEX) or other DeFi features. Resumed Accumulation: Following this transfer, the whale promptly resumed buying, adding the recent $12.1 million worth of HYPE. This shows the initial transfer was not a sell-off but a repositioning. Why Should Crypto Investors Care About Whale Movements? Tracking Hyperliquid whale activity is more than just watching rich investors. These movements often serve as leading indicators for market sentiment and potential price trajectories. Large, confident accumulations by informed entities can signal underlying strength or upcoming developments within a project’s ecosystem. For the Hyperliquid platform, such a substantial vote of confidence from a major holder can boost credibility and attract attention from other investors. It demonstrates that sophisticated market participants see tangible value and future potential in the HYPE token and the Hyperliquid ecosystem. What Are the Potential Implications of This Accumulation? The actions of this Hyperliquid whale create several possible outcomes for the broader market. First, it reduces the circulating supply of HYPE tokens on the open market, which can create upward pressure on price if demand remains steady or increases. Second, it may encourage other investors to research Hyperliquid, potentially driving new capital into the ecosystem. However, it’s crucial to remember that whale movements also introduce volatility risk. A future decision by this large holder to sell could significantly impact the market. Therefore, while accumulation is a bullish signal, it should be one factor among many in an investor’s research. Conclusion: A Powerful Signal in the DeFi Sea The $12.1 million HYPE accumulation by a major Hyperliquid whale over 14 days is a compelling narrative of conviction. It highlights a strategic, long-term investment approach rather than impulsive trading. For observers and participants in the Hyperliquid ecosystem, this activity underscores the project’s growing appeal to high-caliber investors. While following whale wallets is insightful, it should complement thorough fundamental analysis of the technology, team, and tokenomics behind any cryptocurrency project. Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs) What is a ‘whale’ in cryptocurrency? A ‘whale’ is a term for an individual or entity that holds a large enough amount of a cryptocurrency to potentially influence its market price through their trades. Why did the Hyperliquid whale transfer tokens to the platform? The transfer of 323,000 HYPE to the Hyperliquid platform likely indicates intent to use the tokens within the ecosystem, such as for staking to earn rewards, providing liquidity, or utilizing other DeFi services offered by the platform. Is whale accumulation always a good sign? While often interpreted as bullish due to the confidence it shows, whale accumulation should not be the sole reason for an investment decision. It is one data point that must be considered alongside a project’s fundamentals, technology, and market conditions. How can I track whale wallets like this one? You can use blockchain explorers (like Etherscan for Ethereum-based tokens) and specialized analytics platforms (such as Nansen, Arkham, or DeFiLlama) that track and label large wallet activities across various blockchains. Does this mean the HYPE token price will go up? Large accumulations can reduce sell-side pressure and signal confidence, which may support price appreciation. However, cryptocurrency prices are influenced by many complex factors, including overall market sentiment, project developments, and macroeconomic conditions, so a direct guarantee is impossible. What is the Hyperliquid platform? Hyperliquid is a decentralized exchange (DEX) and perpetual futures trading platform built for high performance and low latency, operating on its own Layer 1 blockchain designed specifically for decentralized finance (DeFi) applications. Found this analysis of the Hyperliquid whale’s moves insightful? Share this article with your network on Twitter, Telegram, or Reddit to discuss what this major accumulation could mean for the future of the HYPE token and the Hyperliquid ecosystem! To learn more about the latest cryptocurrency market trends, explore our article on key developments shaping decentralized exchange platforms and institutional adoption. This post Hyperliquid Whale Makes Stunning $12.1 Million HYPE Accumulation in Just 14 Days first appeared on BitcoinWorld .

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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Fidelity Flags a $65K Bottom – Is the Cycle Breaking?

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Bitcoin is at a crossroads as long-term cycle warnings collide with short-term technical pressure. Fidelity sees a possible $65,000 bottom in 2026, while institutional shifts around Bitcoin treasury firms and new US access via Metaplanet’s ADRs reshape sentiment. Against this backdrop, BTC trades near a key technical pivot, with bearish flag risks balanced by signs of base-building and dip demand. Fidelity Sees $65K Bitcoin Bottom in 2026, Bull Cycle Nearing End According to Jurrien Timmer, director of global macro research at Fidelity Bitcoin may have peaked in its current four-year cycle. According to him, Bitcoin’s increase to almost $125,000 earlier this year may be the cycle’s price and time high. Timmer expects a weaker year in 2026, akin to previous “Bitcoin winters,” despite his continued belief in Bitcoin. He believes that Bitcoin has good support between $65,000 and $75,000 pointing to a potential bottom in 2026 at $65,000. All analysts disagree yet. According to several cryptocurrency analysts, Wall Street adoption, stricter regulations and new cryptocurrency investment products will propel Bitcoin to unprecedented heights in 2026. JUST IN: JPMorgan calls #Bitcoin bottom at $94K, predicts $170K in 2026 to challenge gold’s $28.3T market cap. – Forbes pic.twitter.com/wZRBfdjrwc — Bitcoin Archive (@BitcoinArchive) November 15, 2025 Many people think fundamentals are becoming better despite recent price declines and pessimism. This forecast may put pressure on the cryptocurrency and raise volatility in the short run. Yet the $65K mark is regarded as a solid long-term support bolstering Bitcoin’s optimistic outlook after the cycle pause. Metaplanet to Start US Trading via ADRs The Japanese Bitcoin treasury business Metaplanet will start using American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) on the over-the-counter market to trade in the US. It will come that trading would begin under the ticker MPJPY with Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas serving as the depositor. The goal of the modification is to make Metaplanet’s shares more accessible to US institutional and ordinary investors without requiring a direct listing on a US exchange. According to the company, the ADRs are intended to increase stock accessibility worldwide rather than to raise additional funds. The launch comes after Metaplanet decided earlier this year to establish a Miami-based US subsidiary. Metaplanet is one of the biggest Bitcoin-holding organizations in the world, with more than 30,800 BTC. Metaplanet to debut US trading with Deutsche Bank under MPJPY Full News : https://t.co/3eipc9IQ5n — The CryptoCurrency Post (@The_CryptoPost) December 19, 2025 However since its worth momentarily dropped below the value of its Bitcoin holdings in September the company has not purchased any additional Bitcoin. Long-term adoption is supported by increased US investor access to Bitcoin-related businesses which is a positive development for Bitcoin sentiment. It increases institutional trust and continues to boost Bitcoin prices over time even though it might not cause an immediate spike in the price of the cryptocurrency. NEW: US trading of Metaplanet ADRs begins December 19 under ticker $MPJPY . The move follows strong demand from U.S. retail and institutional investors seeking easier access to the company’s equity. pic.twitter.com/kAShJExgAm — Bitcoin News (@BitcoinNewsCom) December 19, 2025 Strategy and Bitcoin Treasury Firms Face Possible Index Exclusion Strategy Michael Saylor’s business and other bitcoin-purchasing companies would soon be excluded from important stock indexes such as MSCI. According to MSCI firms that have more than 50% of their assets in digital assets will be excluded since they behave more like investment funds than regular enterprises. This plan might compel passive funds to liquidate shares worth billions of dollars if it is approved by January 15. According to analysts if other index providers follow MSCI’s example Strategy alone would see withdrawals of up to $8–9 billion. Strategy and bitcoin-buying firms face wider exclusion from stock indexes Full Story → https://t.co/JvvQ7qHAvq — PiQ (@PiQSuite) December 19, 2025 Due to the decline in cryptocurrency values Strategy’s stock has already experienced a significant decline this year. Opponents claim that by increasing finance costs and limiting adoption, the law might harm the rapidly expanding digital asset treasury (DAT) industry. Proponents contend that the risk has already been factored in. This news may lead to instability and increase uncertainty in the short term. Long-term, nevertheless the foundations of Bitcoin are still solid and a healthier more stable BTC market might be supported by treasury businesses using less leverage. Bitcoin Price Prediction – Bearish Flag Still in Focus Bitcoin price prediction remains bearish amid breakout of bearish flag. BTC is trading near $88,100 on the 4-hour chart, stabilizing after breaking down from a bearish flag earlier this month. The short-term bias remains cautious, but price action suggests the selloff is losing momentum rather than accelerating. BTC remains inside a broad ascending channel that has guided price since late October. The drop below the 50-EMA at $88,200 and 100-EMA near $89,100 confirms near-term pressure, yet sellers have failed to force a clean breakdown below the $84,500–$85,000 support zone. Repeated long lower wicks in this area point to absorption and dip demand. Bitcoin Price Chart – Source: Tradingview Candlestick structure has shifted to small-bodied candles and Doji-style pauses, signaling indecision. RSI has recovered toward the low-50s, holding above oversold levels and hinting at mild bullish divergence. This favors consolidation over continuation selling. Technically, Bitcoin is compressing below the $88,200–$89,200 pivot zone. A reclaim of this area opens a recovery path toward $92,000, then $94,200. Failure keeps downside risk alive toward $84,500, with deeper support near $80,600. Trade idea: Buy acceptance above $89,200, target $94,000, stop below $84,000. PEPENODE: A Mine-to-Earn Meme Coin Nearing Presale Close PEPENODE is gaining momentum as a next-generation meme coin that blends viral culture with interactive gameplay. With over $2.37 mn raised and the presale approaching its cap, interest is building fast as the countdown enters its final stretch. What makes PEPENODE stand out is its mine-to-earn virtual ecosystem. Instead of passive holding, users can build digital server rooms using Miner Nodes and facilities, earning simulated rewards through a visual dashboard. The concept brings gamification and competition into the meme coin space, giving holders something to do before launch. The project also offers presale staking, allowing early participants to earn boosted rewards ahead of the token generation event. Leaderboards and bonus incentives are planned post-launch to keep engagement high. With 1 $PEPENODE priced at $0.0012016 and limited allocation remaining, the presale is entering its final opportunity window for early buyers. Click Here to Participate in the Presale The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: Fidelity Flags a $65K Bottom – Is the Cycle Breaking? appeared first on Cryptonews .

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Why are prediction markets suddenly the hottest product in finance and tech?

  vor 2 Tagen

Prediction markets have quietly emerged as the next big frontier in financial innovation, and it seems everyone is suddenly paying attention. Investors are pouring in, institutions are taking notice, and major platforms are viewing them not as a fad but as a fundamental shift in how belief, risk, and information interact. And the sudden rise is more than just a passing fad, as the numbers speak for themselves. Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi are raking in billions of dollars worth in weekly trading volumes while drawing in multi-billion dollar investments. Why prediction markets are gaining so much traction is a deeper topic that deserves proper attention. But before diving into what the hype is all about, one must first understand how it all began and what exactly led to this moment. The rise of prediction markets and what they are In the most basic sense, prediction markets are financial platforms that allow anyone to speculate on real-world outcomes, from political elections to economic data, sports, entertainment, or even what celebrity might wear in their next appearance, by simply trading yes or no event contracts. While this may sound quite similar to gambling, they are fundamentally not the same, as there is no bookmaker or house setting the odds. Instead, these platforms act as neutral exchanges where users are simply trading directly with one another, and the platform itself has no stake in the final result. The result? It creates a dynamic pricing mechanism based on crowd sentiment, where users are financially rewarded for being right and penalised for being wrong. Prediction markets trace their origins back to the 1500s, but their modern resurgence has followed decades of experimentation and regulatory caution. Interest accelerated in recent years, most notably during the 2024 US election cycle, when these markets drew widespread attention for signalling outcomes more quickly — and often more accurately — than traditional polling and political analysis. Initially, the industry faced significant opposition on the regulatory front. Kalshi, one of the earliest regulated players in the United States, ran into legal challenges, as regulators viewed its political betting proposals as illegal “gaming” under the Commodity Exchange Act. That sidelined much of the sector and left many platforms operating in a legal grey area. Things, however, took a turn for the better after Kalshi won its lawsuit against the CFTC in October 2024, and the court ruled that election contracts were not gambling but legitimate financial derivatives. Suddenly, the floodgates were open. Just weeks before the election, Kalshi launched its regulated election markets in all 50 states, and other platforms like Polymarket, which had already built a strong user base while operating offshore, saw their trading volumes explode. During the election cycle, a clear divergence emerged between traditional opinion polls and prediction market probabilities. While many polls suggested a tight and uncertain race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, platforms such as Polymarket consistently assigned a higher likelihood to a Trump victory, often placing the odds around 60% even as pollsters described the contest as too close to call. The election outcome reinforced the perception among the public , investors and media that prediction markets had provided a more accurate signal than conventional polling, elevating their profile and credibility. The episode became a pivotal moment for the sector, accelerating interest and visibility. In the aftermath, a broad range of major players moved to establish a presence in the space, including firms from traditional finance such as Intercontinental Exchange and CME Group, retail trading platforms like Robinhood and Coinbase , sports betting companies including DraftKings, media organisations such as CNN , and technology groups including Google. Why does everyone want a prediction market of their own? From a business perspective, prediction markets offer a major opportunity for several reasons: The exchange fee goldmine One of the most compelling drivers for financial firms, fintech platforms, and even traditional exchanges is that platforms offering prediction markets can directly benefit from massive volumes of trading activity. Event contracts, by nature, have an extremely low barrier to entry. The structure of these markets, which operate continuously and process high trading volumes, allows even small transaction fees to accumulate into a steady, low-risk revenue stream. Because pricing adjusts in real time to virtually any real-world development, platforms can generate frequent income from constant activity. Platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi have already proven this model at scale. For instance, by late 2025, Polymarket was seeing roughly $2 billion in weekly trading volume. The proprietary data monopoly Beyond trading fees, ownership of a prediction market offers access to a continuous flow of real-time sentiment data. In an environment shaped by advanced technology and machine learning, such data is increasingly viewed as a valuable asset that can be monetised through additional products and services. For example, if an exchange operator such as Intercontinental Exchange were to own a platform where participants trade on the likelihood of a Suez Canal disruption, it would effectively control a real-time signal of global expectations. That signal would update continuously and reflect the views of traders committing capital, providing a market-based early indicator of potential events. These implied probability signals can then be cleaned, packaged, and sold to hedge funds, insurance companies, and supply chain managers for potentially millions of dollars through API subscriptions. What starts as public opinion ends up as a proprietary feed of real-time forecasting data , giving clients a competitive edge in markets that move faster than traditional news or analyst research. Drastic reduction in customer acquisition costs Prediction markets can act as the ultimate engagement loop due to their ability to tie directly into real-time events. For a platform like Robinhood , this format serves as a strong retention tool during times of low activity in traditional markets. At the same time, there is a universal appeal; placing an opinion on an outcome feels more approachable and doesn’t require great technical skill. The gamified nature draws in more users based on instinct or common sense. Prediction markets also solve the marketing problem better than any other financial product. In business terms, this is known as organic virality, and it makes them inherently more scalable than older models. On one hand, a traditional brokerage would have to spend heavily on ads, but in this case, event contracts are parasitic to the news cycle; they thrive on whatever people are already talking about. Basically, the world is the marketing department. From a business retention perspective, the most profitable products are those that keep users coming back multiple times a day, and because event contracts track real-time controversy, users check the app constantly to see how the “odds” have shifted. Add to that the fact that people love to be right and love to prove it, which boosts social shareability and creates a self-reinforcing loop. As mentioned before, these markets also come with a much lower barrier to entry, allowing platforms to reach a massive new demographic of everyday users at a fraction of the typical acquisition cost. What lies ahead? Prediction markets have already come a long way from obscure academic tools to high-traffic platforms influencing headlines and institutional strategies. But this still feels like the early innings. For decades, financial markets have revolved around pricing what we own. Prediction markets flip that model. They price what we believe in. What will happen? Who might win? What decisions are likely? That opens up an entirely new class of tradable information. Beyond the technicalities, prediction markets are also a philosophical evolution, turning human conviction into measurable, liquid signals. And that might prove to be one of the most important breakthroughs in how we forecast and navigate an increasingly uncertain world. The post Why are prediction markets suddenly the hottest product in finance and tech? appeared first on Invezz

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Mutuum Finance (MUTM) vs Ripple (XRP) Price Prediction: Which Crypto Will Lead the Next Bull Run?

  vor 2 Tagen

As the crypto market is now poised to start its new big growth cycle, market participants are increasingly turning to comparisons between established large-cap markets and new entrants in the high-growth market to zero in on the next crypto to explode. However, even though Ripple (XRP) is one of the performers that continues to thrive on the back of extensive liquidity, recognized brand, and persistent payment adoption, it is fair to say that in a period where investor interest is gravitating toward new markets offering greater possibilities of growth, new projects centered around a new purpose entering markets at new value milestones are slowly but surely drawing greater focus. One of the new projects gaining wider notice at present is Mutuum Finance (MUTM) , an entrant to the market that is steadily building a reputation to be the best crypto to strongly break out in the new market cycle, at a present price of $0.035, almost on the close of its 6th presale stage that is in excess of 99% sold out. Consequently, in a remarkably short time span, it is able to provide evidence of cultivating in excess of 18,450 new market participants, raising in excess of $20 million. XRP Price Analysis XRP has a crucial breakout decision to make, being stranded in a critical support zone ranging between $1.83 and $1.85, which may give birth to a temporary reversal but has not yet negated the prevailing bearish scenario. The downward force will continue to reign until XRP breaks above the declining resistance line at $1.95. A close below $1.83, to be confirmed, may trigger a price action trajectory towards $1.70. For now, a clear breakout above the $1.95 mark may alter the course, leading the tide towards the $2.12 level, thereby a return to the bipolar scenario. A mere indication of a bullish divergence, combined with a lack of affirmation, exists via the RSI, while the concomitant heavy accumulation on the charts implies that a capability to expand the prevailing price swings lies imminent. Against the backdrop of risk assessments being undertaken by market players across major players at critical points within technical charts, the focus naturally drifts towards projects that lie earlier along the growth trail, thus citing Mutuum Finance (MUTM). MUTM Presale Mutuum Finance (MUTM) is coming up in the ranks as one of the most coveted DeFi projects. The presale is in Phase 6, with over 18,530 contributors putting in more than $19.5 million into the project. The price at the moment is at $0.035, but Phase 7 of the presale would see the price rise by a further 20% to $0.04. The presale performance has been impressive. Mutuum Finance has placed emphasis on adoption. Its stress on transparency, lending frameworks, and tokenomics can be attributed to the fact that it has made MUTM the best crypto to invest in for early-stage growth. One of the reasons for Mutuum Finance’s success is its two-way lending system, which is tailored to meet different asset volatility levels, as follows: Peer to Contract (P2C): It is a layer where large assets such as USDT, ETH, and SOL are combined into completely auditable smart contracts, with dynamic interest rates adjusted according to pool usage. For instance, for a loan of $15,000 worth of USDT, it is possible to create mtUSDT tokens earning a 15% rate per annum, which is worth $2,250. The user will be able to borrow $1,500 worth of USDT by using $2,000 of ADA as collateral, without liquidating their own accounts. Peer-to-Peer (P2P): It facilitates direct lending contracts for higher-risk assets. Users can manage risks of volatility without hampering the stability of liquidity pools. This dual-layer system offers a scalable and flexible space for lending, borrowing, and staking, and it will promote higher engagement levels with MUTM and make it the next crypto to explode for investors in the early market stages. By introducing the mtTokens, users are rewarded when contributing assets to the platform. Unlike the conventional deposits which earn interest when withdrawn, the mtTokens earn the user passive income in real-time. This enables the user to stay liquid in DeFi. This strategy makes the user more engaged and committed to the MUTM ecosystem. This consequently boosts the user experience and the adoption of the platform. Mutuum Finance (MUTM) Phase 6 is well over 99% sold out, and there are already 18,530+ holders who have collectively managed to raise almost $19.5M. Phase 7 raises the price to $0.04. With two-level lending, passive income through mtTokens, and real DeFi utilization, MUTM is destined to surpass XRP as the best crypto for early-stage investors and the next crypto to explode in 2026. For more information about Mutuum Finance (MUTM) visit the links below: Website: https://mutuum.com/ Linktree: https://linktr.ee/mutuumfinance

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