XRP pulled $70.2 million into ETF products as Bitcoin saw $443 million exit, just as the XRP Ledger received a major quantum resistance upgrade on the test network.
BitcoinWorld Polymarket Profitability Crisis: Shocking Data Reveals 70% of Users Lose Money A stark new blockchain analysis delivers a sobering reality check for the burgeoning prediction market sector, revealing a profound profitability crisis on Polymarket where a staggering 70% of user addresses have failed to realize a net profit. According to data scrutinized by blockchain analyst defioasis and published in early 2025, the decentralized platform’s financial outcomes are not only lopsided but are dominated by a microscopic elite, challenging common perceptions of accessibility and success in crypto-based speculation. Polymarket Profitability Data Unveils Extreme Inequality The core findings, based on an exhaustive on-chain analysis of approximately 1.7 million unique addresses, present a clear yet troubling picture. Only about 30% of all Polymarket participants have managed to exit trades with a net gain. However, this headline figure masks an even more dramatic concentration of wealth. A minuscule fraction of users—fewer than 0.04% of all addresses—captured over 70% of the total realized profits, which sum to a colossal $3.7 billion. This level of inequality suggests that while the platform facilitates massive value transfer, the benefits are hyper-concentrated among a handful of sophisticated or fortunate players. Conversely, the experience for the typical profitable user is far more modest. The data shows that 63.5% of all profitable addresses earned between $0 and $1,000. Despite their numerical majority, this group’s collective earnings represent a mere 0.86% of all profits generated on the platform. Simply earning over $1,000 placed an address in the top 4.9% of all Polymarket users, highlighting how rare significant gains are for the general participant base. The analysis also provided context on losses, noting that large-scale financial disasters were relatively uncommon, with just over 140 addresses suffering losses exceeding $1 million. Understanding Prediction Markets and User Behavior To fully grasp these statistics, one must understand the mechanics of prediction markets like Polymarket. These platforms allow users to buy and sell shares based on the predicted outcome of real-world events, such as election results, economic data releases, or protocol decisions. Prices fluctuate between $0 and $1, representing the market’s collective probability assessment. Users profit by correctly buying low and selling high as the market’s consensus shifts. This environment blends elements of trading, gambling, and collective intelligence gathering, attracting a diverse user base with varying levels of skill, capital, and risk tolerance. Several behavioral and structural factors likely contribute to the observed profitability distribution. Firstly, information asymmetry plays a critical role. Well-connected or highly specialized users may possess superior information or analytical capabilities, allowing them to identify mispriced contracts before the broader market corrects. Secondly, the winner-takes-most dynamics inherent in many speculative markets are amplified on blockchain platforms where activity is transparent and composable. Experienced traders can deploy sophisticated strategies, including arbitrage and market-making bots, that consistently extract value. Finally, emotional decision-making and a lack of disciplined risk management among casual users often lead to poor timing and realized losses, a pattern well-documented in traditional retail trading. Expert Context on Crypto Market Performance Metrics Financial analysts observing the cryptocurrency sector note that Polymarket’s profitability metrics, while stark, are not entirely anomalous. Studies of centralized crypto exchanges have repeatedly shown that a significant majority of retail traders lose money over time. A 2023 report from the Blockchain Transparency Institute suggested similar patterns across spot and derivatives trading. What makes the Polymarket data particularly significant is its immutable and transparent nature, recorded directly on the blockchain, which allows for a definitive, real-world audit of user outcomes rather than a survey or estimate. “These on-chain findings are a powerful reminder that decentralization does not automatically equate to democratized profits,” notes a researcher specializing in decentralized finance metrics, who reviewed the analysis. “The infrastructure is permissionless, but the skills, capital, and strategies required to succeed remain concentrated. This data should inform how we educate new users about the realistic risks and probabilistic nature of prediction markets.” The timeline of Polymarket’s growth is also relevant. Launched in 2020, the platform saw explosive adoption during periods of high market volatility and major event cycles, potentially drawing in many inexperienced users during peak hype cycles, a scenario often correlated with subsequent losses. Implications for the Future of Decentralized Prediction Platforms The concentration of profits has significant implications for the prediction market ecosystem. For platform developers and governance token holders, it raises questions about long-term sustainability and user retention. If most participants are statistically likely to lose money, platforms must either improve educational tools, create more accessible products, or rely on a continuous influx of new users—a challenging growth model. Furthermore, extreme wealth concentration can impact market liquidity and efficiency, as a small group of large holders may exert outsized influence on price discovery for certain contracts. From a regulatory and mainstream adoption perspective, this data could attract scrutiny. While large losses are noted as uncommon, the high rate of unprofitability could be framed as a consumer protection issue. This analysis may prompt calls for clearer risk disclosures or even influence the design of future, more user-friendly prediction market mechanisms that incorporate features like loss limits or simplified hedging options. The table below summarizes the key data tiers from the analysis: Polymarket User Profitability Tiers Top 0.04% of Addresses: Control 70%+ of all profits ($3.7B). Profitable Addresses (Top 30%): Only 3 in 10 users are in net profit. Profits $0-$1,000 (63.5% of profitable users): Earn just 0.86% of total profits. Profits >$1,000: Places a user in the top 4.9% of all users. Losses >$1M: Affected just over 140 addresses. Conclusion The blockchain analysis of Polymarket profitability delivers an unambiguous and data-rich narrative: success on one of the world’s leading prediction markets is exceptionally rare and highly concentrated. While the platform democratizes access to speculative markets on global events, it does not democratize positive financial outcomes. For the vast majority—70% of users—the net result is a loss. This reality underscores the critical importance of education, risk management, and realistic expectations for anyone participating in decentralized finance and prediction markets. The Polymarket profitability data serves not as a condemnation of the platform, but as a vital, transparent benchmark for understanding the true distribution of rewards in a cutting-edge, yet fiercely competitive, financial frontier. FAQs Q1: What percentage of Polymarket users are actually profitable? A1: According to the blockchain analysis, approximately 30% of the 1.7 million user addresses on Polymarket have realized a net profit, meaning 70% are unprofitable. Q2: How concentrated are the profits on Polymarket? A2: Profits are extremely concentrated. Fewer than 0.04% of all addresses (a tiny elite) account for over 70% of the total $3.7 billion in realized gains. Q3: Did the analysis look at how much most profitable users earn? A3: Yes. The majority of profitable users (63.5%) earned between $0 and $1,000, but collectively this large group earned less than 1% of all profits. Earning over $1,000 placed a user in the top 4.9%. Q4: Are massive losses common on Polymarket? A4: The data suggests large-scale losses are not common. The analyst noted that just over 140 addresses lost more than $1 million, which is a very small fraction of the total user base. Q5: What does this data mean for someone new to prediction markets? A5: This data highlights the high-risk, probabilistic nature of prediction markets. It indicates that most participants lose money, and success requires significant skill, information, and/or risk management. New users should approach with caution, start with very small amounts, and prioritize learning. This post Polymarket Profitability Crisis: Shocking Data Reveals 70% of Users Lose Money first appeared on BitcoinWorld .
Cardano founder Charles Hoskinson has reaffirmed that the Glacier Drop initiative is not a one-off event but a foundational component of the evolving ecosystem. For context, the Glacier Drop was introduced in the early stages of the Midnight project as its airdrop event. Visit Website
Key Takeaways: Our Tron price predictions anticipate a high of $0.522071 by the end of 2025. In 2028, TRX will range between $1.22 and $1.39, with an average price of $1.31. In 2031, TRX will range between $2.09 and $2.26, with an average price of $2.18. TRX is the native token of the Tron network used to govern and settle transaction fees. In retrospect, Tron (TRX) has performed better than most mega-altcoins. Over the long term, TRX is set to trend higher. Is TRX a good investment? Will it go up? Where will it be in three years? Let’s get into the TRX price prediction to answer these questions and more. Overview Cryptocurrency Tron Ticker TRX Current price $0.281 (-0.47%) Market cap $26.69B Trading volume (24-hour) $543.82M Circulating supply 94.69B TRX All-time low $0.001091 on Sep 15, 2017 All-time high $0.4313 on Dec 04, 2024 24-hour low $0.2855 24-hour high $0.2818 Tron price prediction: Technical analysis Metric Value Price Volatility (30-day variation) 1.19% 50-day SMA $0.2825 200-day SMA $0.2926 Sentiment Bearish Fear and greed index 24 (Extreme Fear) Green days 16/30 (53%) TRON Price Analysis TL;DR Breakdown Tron price analysis confirmed a downward trend toward $0.281. Cryptocurrency loses 0.47% of its value. TRX faces resistance around $0.287. On December 29, 2025, Tron price analysis reveals a bearish trend for the altcoin. The coin’s price has decreased to a low of $0.281 over the past 24 hours. Concurrently, the cryptocurrency has lost 0.47% in value today, as selling pressure appeared when the altcoin touched $0.285 yesterday amid positive market sentiment. TRX/USD 1-day chart analysis The one-day price chart of TRON (TRX) confirmed a bearish trend in the market. The coin’s price decreased to $0.281 over the day. Selling momentum is continuing, as the coin found resistance at $0.285, which is suppressing the price. Bears are now looking for a break below the $0.279 support level. TRX/USD 1-day price chart. Source: TradingView The distance between the Bollinger Bands defines the volatility level. This distance is slowly decreasing, leading to low volatility. Moreover, the upper limit of the Bollinger Bands indicator, acting as the resistance, has shifted to $0.287, whereby its lower limit, serving as the support, has moved to $0.272. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is currently hovering in the neutral region as it moves downward. The indicator’s value has decreased to index 49 in the past 24 hours. The downward curve on the RSI graph reflects an unbalanced market setup. If the bears persist, we can expect a further downturn in coin value. TRX/USD 4-hour chart analysis In line with the daily chart, the four-hour price analysis of Tron also indicates a decreasing trend for the cryptocurrency. The TRX/USD price has decreased to $0.281 in the past few hours. Immediate support is also present just below the current price level at $0.279, as the token keeps moving towards that level. Simultaneously, the low volatility suggests a lesser chance of a price reversal or further price depreciation. TRX/USD 4-hour price chart. Source: Tradingview The Bollinger Bands have converged due to decreased volatility levels. This level of volatility signals more market predictability. Moving ahead, the upper Bollinger Band has shifted to $0.283, indicating the resistance point. Conversely, the lower Bollinger Band has moved to $0.276, securing the support. The RSI indicator is in the neutral region. The indicator’s score has decreased to 48 in the past four hours. The downward curve on the indicator’s graph signifies bearish presence; if the bears succeed in continuing their lead, a further downtick in the coin’s value can be expected. TRX technical indicators: Levels and actions Daily simple moving average (SMA) Period Value ($) Action SMA 3 0.3027 SELL SMA 5 0.2942 SELL SMA 10 0.2929 SELL SMA 21 0.2844 SELL SMA 50 0.2825 SELL SMA 100 0.2998 SELL SMA 200 0.2926 SELL Daily exponential moving average (EMA) Period Value ($) Action EMA 3 0.2822 SELL EMA 5 0.2860 SELL EMA 10 0.2980 SELL EMA 21 0.3147 SELL EMA 50 0.3223 SELL EMA 100 0.3112 SELL EMA 200 0.2866 SELL What can we expect from Tron price analysis next? Tron price analysis gives a bearish prediction regarding the ongoing market events. The coin value has decreased to $0.281, a low in the past 24 hours. At the same time, the cryptocurrency lost up to 0.47 percent of its value. Technical indicators give bearish signals, and the price charts also showcase support for the sellers, as the price may decrease to $0.276 again. Is TRX a good investment? TRX is a coin with utility that continues to trade higher, indicating growing adoption among crypto investors. Despite this, the coin remains a victim of uncertainties and volatility. It is advised to do your own research and conduct expert opinion before investing in the volatile market. Why is Tron down? Tron is bearish today. Moreover, the coin has decreased to $0.281 amidst rising selling activity, which resulted in a decrease. After losing significant support, buyers lost confidence. Will Tron reach $0.5? TRON (TRX) is projected to surpass the $0.50 level in 2025, with its price expected to fluctuate within a range of $0.179 to $0.522071 throughout the year. Will Tron reach $1? Yes, Tron should rise above $1 in 2027. During that period, its price will range between $0.928126 and $1.10, which is quite higher than the current Tron price. Can TRX reach $10? Per expert analysis, Tron may not reach $10 before 2031. What will be the price of 1 TRX in 2025? The average Tron price for 2025 is expected to be $0.435059. What will be the price of TRON in 2030? The highest price of Tron in 2030 is expected to be around $1.97. What will TRX be worth in 5 years? The minimum expected price of Tron after 5 years will be $2.09. Does Tron have a good long-term future? According to the Tron price predictions, Tron is set to trade higher in the coming years. However, factors like market crashes or difficult regulations could invalidate this bullish theory. Recent news/opinions on Tron Bungee, the cross-chain liquidity protocol, announced the integration of Tron DAO on its platform with the broader ecosystem of EVM (Ethereum Virtual Machine). The new functionality is available immediately on the Bungee platform and through the Bungee API. Bungee unlocks TRON-based USDT liquidity for the EVM ecosystem. Tron price prediction December 2025 A break of resistance will result in a mini bull run, with the next target at $0.323. This month, TRX will trade at an average of $ 0.281 and drop to $ 0.253 at its lowest. Month Potential low ($) Potential average ($) Potential high ($) December 0.253 0.281 0.323 Tron price prediction 2025 The technical indicators are bullish on TRX in the second half of 2025. It is anticipated to trade between $0.179 and $0.522071, with an average price of $0.435059. Year Potential low ($) Potential average ($) Potential high ($) 2025 0.179 0.435059 0.522071 Tron price predictions 2026-2031 Year Potential low ($) Potential average ($) Potential high ($) 2026 $0.638086 $0.725098 $0.81211 2027 $0.928126 $1.02 $1.10 2028 $1.22 $1.31 $1.39 2029 $1.51 $1.60 $1.68 2030 $1.80 $1.89 $1.97 2031 $2.09 $2.18 $2.26 Tron price prediction 2026 TRON will experience more bullish momentum in 2026. According to the Tron price prediction, it will range between $0.638086 and $0.81211, with an average price of $0.725098. Tron price prediction 2027 The TRX prediction climbs even higher in 2027; according to the prediction, it will range between $0.928126 and $1.10, with an average price of $1.02. Tron price prediction 2028 The analysis suggests a further acceleration in TRX’s growth by 2028. According to the Tron price prediction, the price of Tron will range between a minimum price of $1.22 and a maximum price of $1.39. The average price for the year will be $1.31. Tron price prediction 2029 According to the Tron forecast for 2029, TRX price will reach a maximum and minimum of $1.68 and $1.51, respectively, with a year-round average of $1.60. Tron price prediction 2030 The Tron TRX price prediction for 2030 indicates a price range of $1.80 and $1.97 and an average price of $1.89. Tron price prediction 2031 The Tron price forecast for 2031 sets the high at $2.26. The lowest price for the year will be $2.09, and the average price will be $2.18. TRX price prediction 2025 – 2031. Source: Cryptopolitan Tron market price prediction: Analysts’ TRX price forecast Platform 2025 2026 Digitalcoinprice $0.64 $0.75 CoinCodex $0.3107 $0.4422 Cryptopolitan’s Tron price prediction At current levels, Tron remains bullish. According to our predictions, TRX will achieve a high of $0.522071 in the second half of 2025. In 2026, it will range between $0.638086 and $0.81211, with an average of $0.725098. Note that the predictions are not investment advice. Seek independent professional consultation or do your research. Tron historic price sentiment TRON price history Tron, founded by Justin Sun in 2017, raised $70 million through an ICO the same year; it launched its mainnet in May 2018 and migrated TRX from Ethereum to Tron in June, which temporarily boosted TRX’s price to $0.09. TRX reached an all-time high of $0.3004 in January 2018 before dropping below $0.05 a month later; it consistently traded under $0.05 until late 2020, when it began to rise again. In 2021, it reached a high of $0.16. Tron was also reorganized as a DAO as Justin stepped down as CEO of Tron Foundation. TRX was in a bear trend for the best part of 2022, as per crypto market data. In 2023, TRX maintained a consistent bull run, rising from a low of $0.05. In March 2023, the SEC sued Justin for allegedly selling unregistered securities and promoting Tron and Bittorent tokens. In February 2024, Circle’s announcement to cease USDC on Tron led TRX to correct from $0.1429. TRX held above $0.1234 until mid-May, then dropped to $0.1113. The price rebounded to $0.1398 in July but fell again to $0.1213 in early August. By late September, TRX recovered to $0.166, reaching $0.1691 in October and touching $0.2130 in late November. TRX ended 2024 with a price tag of $0.255. Tron was priced at $0.255 at the start of January 2025 and it was trading in a range of $0.204 to $0.257 in February. In March 2025, Tron (TRX) dipped to $0.212, but it recovered to the $0.23 range in April and $0.278 in May, while it observed its yearly high price of $0.370 on August 14. In October, Tron started its descent and fell below $0.30 by the end of the month. At the start of December, Tron is trending below the $0.30 range, maintaining its price above $0.28, as the current Tron sentiment is bearish.
Hacken says Web3 losses climbed to nearly $4 billion in 2025, with North Korea behind over half the damage, and regulators are under pressure to turn security guidance into hard rules.
Spot Gold Slumps 3% to $4,394.83/oz; COMEX Gold Dips 3% to $4,416.10/oz on December 29
Strategy completed its final Bitcoin purchase of 2025, acquiring 1,229 BTC for $108.8 million at an average price of $88,568 per BTC. This marks a return to buying after securing $2.1 billion in U.S. dollar reserves, boosting total holdings to 672,497 BTC with a 23.2% YTD BTC yield. Strategy added 1,229 BTC in its last [...]
The December purchases significantly dragged the company's average buying price upward.
Cardano (ADA) was also a top performer, gaining 4.2% from Friday.
Strategy, the largest bitcoin digital asset treasury (DAT), has announced a new purchase of BTC just before the end of the year. Michael Saylor, Executive Chairman of Strategy, disclosed the acquisition of 1,229 BTC for $108.8 million, as bitcoin heads into a negative year. Strategy Keeps Purchasing Bitcoin Amidst Criticism Strategy, the largest digital asset