Bitcoin's price movement is influenced by technical factors and liquidity conditions. Market sentiment shifts from fear to a balanced outlook as the year closes. Continue Reading: Bitcoin Breaks New Price Levels Under Unforeseen Factors The post Bitcoin Breaks New Price Levels Under Unforeseen Factors appeared first on COINTURK NEWS .
BitcoinWorld Bitcoin Price Prediction 2026-2030: Unveiling the Critical Factors That Will Shape BTC’s Future Value As Bitcoin continues to mature within global financial systems, investors and analysts worldwide are examining the factors that could influence its valuation through the latter half of this decade. This analysis explores Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 through 2030, grounded in historical data, technological developments, and macroeconomic trends. The cryptocurrency market has demonstrated remarkable resilience and evolution since Bitcoin’s inception in 2009, transitioning from an experimental digital currency to a recognized asset class. Consequently, understanding Bitcoin’s potential trajectory requires examining multiple dimensions beyond simple price speculation. Bitcoin Price Prediction: Historical Context and Current Landscape Bitcoin’s price history reveals distinct cycles characterized by exponential growth periods followed by significant corrections. The 2017 bull run saw Bitcoin reach nearly $20,000 before declining, while the 2021 cycle pushed prices above $69,000. Currently, Bitcoin operates within an increasingly regulated environment with growing institutional adoption. Major financial institutions now offer Bitcoin-related products, and several countries have implemented clear regulatory frameworks. This institutional involvement provides both stability and new dynamics to Bitcoin’s price discovery mechanisms. Furthermore, the 2024 halving event reduced new Bitcoin issuance, historically preceding substantial price movements in subsequent years. Market analysts consistently monitor several key indicators when formulating Bitcoin price predictions. These include network fundamentals like hash rate and active addresses, macroeconomic factors such as inflation rates and monetary policy, and adoption metrics including wallet growth and transaction volume. The Bitcoin network’s security has reached unprecedented levels, with hash rates setting new records regularly. This computational power represents significant infrastructure investment, suggesting long-term confidence from network participants. Additionally, Bitcoin’s fixed supply of 21 million coins creates inherent scarcity that interacts dynamically with changing demand. Methodologies for Cryptocurrency Forecasting Experts employ diverse methodologies when creating Bitcoin price predictions, each with distinct strengths and limitations. Technical analysis examines historical price patterns and trading volumes to identify potential future movements. This approach utilizes tools like moving averages, relative strength index, and Fibonacci retracement levels. Fundamental analysis evaluates Bitcoin’s intrinsic value based on network adoption, utility, and competitive positioning within digital assets. On-chain analysis provides unique insights by examining blockchain data, including holder behavior, exchange flows, and miner activity. Several quantitative models have gained prominence in Bitcoin forecasting circles. The Stock-to-Flow model, developed by PlanB, correlates Bitcoin’s scarcity with its market value. Metcalfe’s Law suggests a network’s value relates to the square of its users. Additionally, regression analysis based on previous halving cycles offers another perspective. However, responsible analysts emphasize that these models represent possibilities rather than guarantees. The cryptocurrency market remains influenced by unpredictable variables including regulatory developments, technological breakthroughs, and global economic conditions. Expert Perspectives and Institutional Analysis Financial institutions and research firms have published increasingly sophisticated Bitcoin price predictions as cryptocurrency matures. Bloomberg Intelligence suggests Bitcoin could reach $100,000 by 2025 based on adoption trends and macroeconomic conditions. Standard Chartered has projected $200,000 by the end of 2025 in their more optimistic scenarios. ARK Invest’s research indicates Bitcoin’s market capitalization could surpass $1 trillion within current market cycles. These institutional perspectives often incorporate traditional financial metrics alongside cryptocurrency-specific factors. Industry veterans provide additional context based on technological developments. Many emphasize Bitcoin’s evolving role as digital gold—a store of value uncorrelated with traditional assets. The growing integration of Bitcoin within portfolio management strategies supports this narrative. Meanwhile, developers continue enhancing Bitcoin’s functionality through Layer-2 solutions like the Lightning Network, which enables faster, cheaper transactions. These technological improvements could expand Bitcoin’s utility beyond store-of-value applications, potentially influencing its adoption curve and price trajectory. Bitcoin Price Prediction 2026: The Post-Halving Year Historical patterns suggest the year following a halving typically exhibits significant price appreciation. If this pattern continues, 2026 could represent a period of substantial growth. Analysts reference previous cycles where Bitcoin’s price increased approximately 12-18 months after halving events. Based on these historical precedents, some projections suggest Bitcoin could reach between $150,000 and $250,000 by late 2026. However, these estimates assume continued adoption growth and favorable macroeconomic conditions. Several specific factors will likely influence Bitcoin’s price throughout 2026. Regulatory clarity in major economies could either facilitate or hinder institutional investment. Technological developments improving Bitcoin’s scalability and privacy might increase its utility. Global economic conditions, particularly inflation rates and currency devaluation concerns, could drive additional demand for Bitcoin as an alternative store of value. Furthermore, the maturation of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and other regulated investment vehicles may provide new capital inflows. Bitcoin Price Prediction Range 2026-2030 Year Conservative Estimate Moderate Estimate Optimistic Estimate Key Influencing Factors 2026 $120,000 $180,000 $250,000 Post-halving cycle, ETF maturation, regulatory developments 2027 $150,000 $220,000 $350,000 Institutional adoption, technological improvements, macroeconomic conditions 2028 $180,000 $280,000 $500,000 Network effects, global adoption rates, competitor developments 2029 $220,000 $350,000 $750,000 Scarcity narrative, wealth transfer generations, infrastructure maturity 2030 $250,000 $450,000 $1,000,000+ Total addressable market, monetary system evolution, technological breakthroughs Bitcoin Price Prediction 2027-2028: Mid-Cycle Dynamics The 2027-2028 period may represent either continuation or consolidation, depending on preceding market conditions. Historically, Bitcoin experiences multi-year cycles with periods of accumulation between bull markets. If 2026 realizes significant appreciation, 2027 might involve price consolidation as markets digest gains. Alternatively, if adoption accelerates exponentially, these years could see continued upward momentum. Analysts particularly monitor Bitcoin’s correlation with traditional markets during such periods, as decoupling from stock markets would strengthen its value proposition as an independent asset class. Technological milestones expected around this timeframe could substantially impact Bitcoin’s utility and value. The Lightning Network aims to achieve mainstream scalability, potentially enabling everyday transactions. Privacy enhancements through technologies like Taproot could increase fungibility. Furthermore, interoperability solutions allowing Bitcoin to function within decentralized finance ecosystems might expand its use cases. These developments could positively influence Bitcoin price predictions by demonstrating practical utility beyond speculative investment. Global Adoption and Macroeconomic Factors Bitcoin’s global adoption curve represents perhaps the most significant variable in long-term price predictions. Currently, adoption follows an S-curve pattern similar to other transformative technologies. Analysis suggests Bitcoin remains in the early adoption phase, with substantial growth potential. Emerging markets experiencing currency instability increasingly adopt Bitcoin for remittances and savings preservation. Meanwhile, developed nations see growing allocation within investment portfolios. This dual adoption pathway creates diverse demand sources that could sustain long-term price appreciation. Macroeconomic conditions significantly influence Bitcoin price predictions through several mechanisms. Expansionary monetary policies and quantitative easing programs tend to increase demand for scarce assets like Bitcoin. Currency devaluation in various countries drives citizens toward alternative stores of value. Geopolitical tensions and capital controls similarly increase Bitcoin’s appeal as a borderless, censorship-resistant asset. These macroeconomic tailwinds could accelerate adoption throughout the late 2020s, potentially creating favorable conditions for Bitcoin’s price appreciation. Bitcoin Price Prediction 2029-2030: The Long-Term Horizon Projecting Bitcoin’s price to 2030 requires considering both exponential growth possibilities and saturation points. If Bitcoin continues following adoption curves similar to internet or mobile phone penetration, its user base could expand tenfold by 2030. Such growth would dramatically increase demand against Bitcoin’s fixed supply. Simple supply-demand economics suggests this scenario would create substantial upward price pressure. However, market saturation, regulatory hurdles, or technological disruption could moderate these projections. Several transformative developments could materialize by 2030, significantly impacting Bitcoin’s valuation. Central bank digital currencies might either compete with or complement Bitcoin’s functionality. Climate change concerns could drive innovation in Bitcoin’s energy usage, potentially improving its environmental narrative. Wealth transfer between generations might increase cryptocurrency adoption as digital-native populations inherit substantial assets. Furthermore, Bitcoin’s potential recognition as a reserve asset by corporations or even nations could fundamentally alter its market dynamics. Critical factors that will determine Bitcoin’s 2030 valuation include: Global adoption rates across different demographics and regions Regulatory frameworks established by major economic powers Technological advancements improving scalability, privacy, and security Macroeconomic environment including inflation, interest rates, and currency stability Competitive landscape from other cryptocurrencies and digital assets Institutional investment patterns and portfolio allocation percentages Risk Factors and Alternative Scenarios While optimistic Bitcoin price predictions capture attention, responsible analysis must consider potential downside scenarios. Regulatory crackdowns in major economies could severely limit adoption and liquidity. Technological vulnerabilities, though increasingly unlikely given Bitcoin’s security track record, could undermine confidence. Environmental concerns might lead to restrictions on Bitcoin mining in certain jurisdictions. Additionally, superior competing technologies could emerge, capturing market share from Bitcoin. These risk factors remind investors that cryptocurrency markets remain volatile and unpredictable. Market analysts also monitor several specific indicators that could signal changing conditions. Bitcoin’s dominance ratio within the broader cryptocurrency market provides insights about its competitive position. Exchange reserves indicate whether investors are accumulating or distributing Bitcoin. Derivatives market data reveals institutional positioning and potential leverage in the system. Furthermore, on-chain metrics like realized capitalization and holder distribution offer nuanced perspectives beyond simple price movements. Monitoring these indicators helps contextualize Bitcoin price predictions within broader market dynamics. Conclusion Bitcoin price predictions for 2026 through 2030 encompass a wide range of possibilities, reflecting both optimism about cryptocurrency adoption and acknowledgment of market uncertainties. Historical patterns, technological developments, and macroeconomic trends suggest potential for significant appreciation, particularly following the 2024 halving. However, investors should approach these projections with appropriate caution, recognizing that cryptocurrency markets involve substantial volatility. The most informed perspectives balance technical analysis, fundamental evaluation, and macroeconomic awareness while acknowledging that unexpected developments frequently influence financial markets. Ultimately, Bitcoin’s journey through the latter half of this decade will test its resilience as a decentralized digital asset and potentially redefine its role within global finance. FAQs Q1: What is the most reliable method for Bitcoin price prediction? No single method proves completely reliable, but combining technical analysis, fundamental evaluation, and on-chain metrics provides the most comprehensive approach. Analysts increasingly incorporate macroeconomic factors and regulatory developments into their models. Q2: How does Bitcoin’s halving event affect price predictions? Historically, Bitcoin halving events reducing block rewards have preceded substantial price increases. This scarcity mechanism influences long-term projections, though the magnitude and timing of effects vary across cycles. Q3: What percentage of investment portfolios might include Bitcoin by 2030? Financial advisors suggest allocations between 1-5% for conservative investors, though some analysts project higher percentages as cryptocurrency becomes more mainstream. Institutional adoption will significantly influence these allocation trends. Q4: Could government regulations dramatically impact Bitcoin’s price trajectory? Yes, regulatory developments represent significant variables in Bitcoin price predictions. Clear, supportive regulations typically encourage institutional investment, while restrictive policies can limit adoption and liquidity in affected regions. Q5: How does Bitcoin’s environmental impact affect its long-term price predictions? Environmental considerations increasingly influence institutional and retail investment decisions. Bitcoin’s energy usage innovations and migration toward renewable sources could positively impact its adoption curve and therefore its valuation over time. This post Bitcoin Price Prediction 2026-2030: Unveiling the Critical Factors That Will Shape BTC’s Future Value first appeared on BitcoinWorld .
In 2025, custody-related events cost the cryptocurrency industry billions of dollars. The loss highlights the need for solutions that mitigate vulnerabilities in cryptocurrency transactions. Pact Swap is one such solution. In this interview, we talk to Toby Gilbert , co-founder of Pact Swap. Toby explains how the exchange utilizes collateralized smart contracts to enable cheaper swaps (90% less expensive than existing solutions) while eliminating custody risk. These features make Pact Swap the ideal trading venue and infrastructure layer for moving value across chains. Background Q: Hello Toby, let’s begin with a brief introduction as you tell us about your role at Pact Swap. A: As a co-founder of Pact Swap and one of the co-founders of Coinweb, the underlying infrastructure on which we are built, my focus is on ensuring that what we build solves real-world problems in the market and can compete under actual market conditions. That means enabling cross-chain trading that can compete on price and asset coverage without forcing users to return to centralized exchanges. It also means working closely with partners, liquidity providers, aggregators, and users to understand where existing solutions break down. Ultimately, my role is about turning those insights into a product that the market actually needs today, not something that only looks good on a whitepaper. Q: As the CEO of a major blockchain platform, what do you consider the most significant barrier to decentralization? Is it worthwhile to invest in this space? A: The biggest barrier is hidden centralization. Many systems claim to be decentralized while quietly introducing trusted intermediaries, validators, or governance chokepoints. That creates fragility. Despite this, it is absolutely worth investing in the space, but selectively. The focus should be on infrastructure that removes trust assumptions rather than rebranding them, and that lowers costs instead of simply pushing them elsewhere. When decentralization is done correctly, it delivers both resilience and efficiency. Q: Pact Swap operates in a competitive landscape where other platforms offer similar services. How does Pact Swap stand out? A: Most cross-chain platforms address interoperability by introducing additional infrastructure, including bridges, validators, committees, wrapped assets, or extra consensus layers. Each addition increases complexity, cost, and risk. We did the opposite. Pact Swap operates without bridges or external validators. We rely directly on the native consensus of each blockchain and enforce outcomes using collateralized smart contracts. That results in lower costs, fewer attack surfaces, and a system that behaves predictably under stress. That design choice is why swaps can be up to 90% cheaper than existing solutions, why native assets can be used directly, and why risk is isolated per transaction rather than pooled across the system. In short: fewer moving parts, less trust, and better economics. Collaterized smart contracts vs bridges Q: Pact Swap uses collateralized smart contracts on Coinweb to manage transactions and verify actions. How exactly does this work? A: Each swap is governed by a smart contract that defines the rules upfront—one party posts collateral. The system observes what actually happens on the underlying blockchains. If both sides fulfill their obligations, the collateral is released. If one side fails, the collateral compensates the other. There’s no discretionary decision-making, no intermediary, and no external enforcement. The outcome is purely a function of what happened on-chain. Q: Without bridges or validators, isn’t Pact Swap more exposed if a smart contract fails? A: Actually, the opposite. Bridges and validator networks introduce systemic risk because they aggregate trust across multiple parties. When they fail, they fail catastrophically. With Pact Swap, risk is isolated per transaction. Each swap is self-contained, collateralized, and independently verifiable. There is no shared pool of funds and no centralized component that can be exploited to bring the system down. Even in adverse scenarios, the impact is contained. Using Pact Swap Q: What’s in it for the client side? What practical applications do you see for a platform like Pact Swap? A: For users, it’s simple: cheaper swaps, real native assets, and no custody risk. That matters for retail users, institutions, wallets, merchants, payment gateways, and aggregators. Anywhere you need to move value across chains reliably, especially involving Bitcoin. Pact Swap becomes useful infrastructure rather than just a trading venue. Q: Please provide a simple overview of making a cross-chain swap on Pact Swap. A: A user connects their wallet, selects a pair, say native BTC to USDT, and confirms the trade. The system locks collateral, monitors both chains, and settles directly on each native network. From the user’s perspective, it feels similar to a standard swap. Under the hood, enforcement and settlement happen without bridges, wrapped tokens, or intermediaries. Behind the scenes, collateral is locked, transactions are monitored across both chains, and settlement is enforced automatically. The experience feels familiar, but the cost structure and trust assumptions are fundamentally different. Q: Given the rapid pace of innovation in this space, when do you foresee decentralized exchanges surpassing centralized platforms in terms of product offerings and user experience? A: Technically, that is already happening in certain areas. The remaining gap is largely economic and architectural. Once decentralized systems can consistently offer CEX-level pricing, reliability, and asset coverage, without custody risk, the migration becomes inevitable. We are much closer to that inflection point than most people realize. Q: Gauging client feedback and usage metrics, how is the traction so far? A: The response has been very strong. Even as an MVP, we have processed thousands of swaps with minimal optimization and onboarded users quickly. What matters most at this stage is not raw volume, but user behavior. When people experience materially lower costs and direct access to native assets, they come back. That is a strong indication that the model is effective. $PACT token and its utility Q: Tell us about the $PACT token and its utility. Is it still the token used for settling transaction fees? A: $PACT is the governance and utility token of the ecosystem. It controls access to the fee pool, enables governance decisions, powers listings and affiliates, and aligns long-term incentives. Importantly, transaction fees are not paid in $PACT. Instead, $PACT governs value capture rather than adding friction, which keeps the trading experience clean and competitive. Q: Are there any other features you would like to talk about? A: What excites me most is composability. Pact Swap is not just a destination; it is an infrastructure that other products can build on. As more wallets, aggregators, and protocols integrate native cross-chain functionality, we expect Pact Swap to remain a key component of much of the future DeFi activity. That is where durable value is created, and it is the direction we are building toward.
In a recent post on X, XRP researcher SMQKE shared documented material suggesting how a major asset manager is assessing the digital asset sector. The image attached to SMQKE’s post references commentary from WisdomTree, outlining how regulatory clarity across key jurisdictions is beginning to influence which blockchain networks are best placed to attract institutional participation. Within this context, XRP is presented as one of the assets expected to benefit directly from clearer rules and compliance standards. WISDOMTREE: XRP IS ANOTHER CLEAR BENEFICIARY OF REGULATORY CLARITY Documented. https://t.co/UnOjHSfLy7 pic.twitter.com/quT1EHttd2 — SMQKE (@SMQKEDQG) December 26, 2025 Regulation Reshaping Institutional Allocation According to the material highlighted by SMQKE, WisdomTree argues that as regulation becomes more defined, capital is not simply moving into digital assets broadly, but is being redirected toward networks that align with institutional requirements. The document states that this shift is recalibrating which blockchains are positioned to lead the next phase of institutional involvement. Regulatory clarity is described as a decisive factor in determining which ecosystems can support compliant financial activity at scale. This view reflects a growing emphasis among traditional financial players on legal certainty, governance, and integration with existing systems. Rather than pursuing speculative exposure, WisdomTree’s outlook emphasizes disciplined allocation strategies that are sensitive to evolving regulatory conditions and focused on use cases such as tokenisation, cross-border payments, and compliant decentralised finance. XRP’s Role in Cross-Border Finance Within WisdomTree’s assessment, XRP is identified as another clear beneficiary of regulatory clarity, particularly in the area of cross-border finance. The documented commentary notes that enterprise integrations and improved legal standing in the United States following Ripple’s legal outcome have positioned XRP as a suitable option for financial institutions seeking compliant alternatives to established messaging systems, such as SWIFT. SMQKE’s post underscores that this positioning is not a theoretical possibility, but a probable outcome rooted in regulatory developments and existing integrations. The emphasis is placed on XRP’s relevance for institutions that require efficiency in international payments while maintaining adherence to compliance expectations. Ethereum, Solana, and a Broader Institutional Basket The same material referenced by SMQKE also situates XRP alongside other major networks, including Ethereum and Solana. WisdomTree’s outlook suggests that Ethereum stands to gain from its dominant role in areas such as stablecoin issuance, decentralised finance infrastructure, and real-world asset tokenisation, all of which are receiving regulatory endorsement in multiple regions. We are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1 — TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025 Solana is described as benefiting from its focus on consumer-facing applications and its growing presence in compliant DeFi environments. Together, these networks are portrayed as forming the core of a more selective, basket-driven approach to digital asset exposure. The emphasis is on diversification, regulatory sensitivity, and targeting themes that align with institutional priorities. SMQKE’s Emphasis on Documentation SMQKE’s contribution centers on presenting this perspective as documented evidence rather than opinion. By sharing the excerpts, the researcher highlights that the view of XRP as a beneficiary of regulatory clarity comes from a large asset manager engaged in institutional strategy, not solely from within the crypto community. Disclaimer : This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses. Follow us on X , Facebook , Telegram , and Google News The post WisdomTree Drops XRP Truth Bomb On Regulatory Clarity appeared first on Times Tabloid .
North Korean hackers were behind the vast majority of crypto-targeted security breaches in 2025, and the threat is only expected to amplify in the years ahead, according to Chainalysis’s head of national security intelligence, Andrew Fierman. “North Korea will always seek new vectors to steal funds on behalf of the regime, whether through fiat or crypto,” Fierman told crypto media, adding that “their mechanisms are forever evolving, and are highly sophisticated, diversified, and deeply embedded across jurisdictions.” As previously reported by Invezz, North Korean hackers were behind the lion’s share of attacks that hit the cryptocurrency space in 2025. Throughout the year, state-backed cyber groups were responsible for 76% of service-level compromises across exchanges and custodians, successfully stealing at least $2.02 billion worth of crypto assets. The 2025 numbers marked a 51% year-on-year increase, despite a nearly 74% decrease in the total number of confirmed incidents, highlighting a strategic shift toward fewer but significantly larger incidents. Interestingly, just three incidents alone were responsible for 69% of total service-level losses, which goes to show that notorious hacking outfits like the Lazarus Group and the affiliated UNC5342 are now focused almost entirely on breaching large infrastructure targets that promise bigger and faster payouts. For the crypto industry, this translates to significantly larger financial losses that can potentially disrupt entire ecosystems and wipe out the funds of vast numbers of investors across the globe. One of the biggest incidents of the year involving North Korean groups was the $1.5 billion Bybit hack that shook the industry back in late February. Over 400,000 ETH was stolen in the breach, leading to the largest digital asset heist in the history of the crypto industry. Several other incidents followed, including the $223 million theft from the decentralized exchange Cetus , and a $128 million exploit targeting the Ethereum-based protocol Balancer. Additional confirmed breaches at WOO X, Seedify, and LND.fi only added to the staggering figures that made 2025 the most successful year to date for North Korean hackers. Over the past several months, North Korean actors have been found to be using a variety of attack vectors to breach targets. For instance, back in October, they were found to be embedding malware within Ethereum and BNB Chain smart contracts as part of a stealth campaign now linked to the state-backed group UNC5342. Across the globe, major economies like the United States, South Korea, Australia, and members of the European Union have rolled out targeted sanctions against North Korea’s cybercrime infrastructure in a bid to curb its illegal revenue generation. But that alone may not be enough, according to Andrew Fierman, who noted that disrupting North Korea’s operations requires coordinated action across the entire industry, including exchanges, infrastructure providers, analytics firms, and law enforcement agencies. Fierman warned that the regime is expected to continue to rely on crypto theft as a primary revenue stream, especially as international sanctions tighten and other income channels shrink. Evolving crypto laundering techniques Once the funds are stolen, the process by which they are laundered further compounds the problem, making recovery efforts extremely difficult and transforming the threat into a persistent and systemic risk for the broader crypto ecosystem. “Stolen funds follow diverse laundering paths, including mixing services, OTC brokers, chain-hopping, token swaps, decentralised exchanges, and bridge protocols to obscure flows,” Fierman said. Some of the techniques used by North Korean groups include the so-called Chinese laundromat network, which comprises over-the-counter brokers, underground banking channels, and cross-border money transmitters based largely in China and Southeast Asia. On the technical side, they rely on complex cross-chain bridge routes and a rotation of mixing services to fragment the stolen assets across blockchains. These are often withdrawn through loosely regulated Chinese-language platforms with weak KYC requirements. Although North Korea’s cyber attacks also target areas beyond the crypto sector, the crypto industry remains an especially attractive target, mainly due to its liquidity, global accessibility, and fragmented oversight. Last month, during the Devconnect conference in Buenos Aires, web3 audit firm Opsek’s founder Pablo Sabbatella warned that roughly 30% to 40% of applicants flooding into crypto jobs may be North Korean attempts to gain insider access through fake identities. The post Crypto theft will remain a core funding strategy for North Korea, expert warns appeared first on Invezz
Bitcoin is heading into New Year’s Eve on the verge of printing a red yearly candle, an awkward setup after a year packed with pro-crypto policy and institutional headlines. Galaxy Digital head of research Alex Thorn said BTC is down 6.3% year-to-date and 8.25% year-over-year, and would need a daily close above $93,389 on New Year’s Eve to finish 2025 positive. The late-year mood has been defined by a soft Q4 tape and a deeper drawdown than many bulls expected this late in the cycle. Thorn noted BTC traded as low as roughly 36% below its Oct. 6, 2025 all-time high of $125,296, even as a steady stream of bullish headlines landed throughout the year. “Despite the tepid finish, 2025 was a banner year for Bitcoin. Even Bitcoin’s staunchest supporters wouldn’t have believed some of 2025’s headlines just a few years ago… 2025 has been filled with dozens of positive headlines for Bitcoin that in the past would have sparked euphoria. Today, these victories feel like par for the course. Maybe we really are ‘tired of winning?’” Thorn wrote in Galaxy’s weekly research note. Bitcoin On Verge Of Red Yearly Candle Thorn argued that part of the market’s stalled feel is mechanical, not philosophical. He pointed to a large month-end options expiry as a potential catalyst for loosening the range-bound behavior he described between the mid-$80,000s and $90,000. Related Reading: Why $100,000 Is Bitcoin’s Most Important Resistance Level “A significant options expiry at the end of the month clear some of the outstanding dealer gamma that has encouraged bitcoin to stay pinned between major $85k and $90k, and January may prompt some portfolio managers to take a fresh look at the world’s oldest cryptocurrency. There are reasons why the quiet period we’ve seen for the last month will not persist in the near term.” He also cited headwinds that hit spot demand and risk appetite: “significant whale distribution,” an Oct. 10 leverage wipeout, and competition from other macro trades such as AI, hyperscalers, gold, and the “Mag 7.” One of Thorn’s key observations was the divergence between bitcoin’s drawdown and US bitcoin ETF behavior. He said US bitcoin ETF cumulative inflows are down only 9% from their October peak of $62 billion, even though bitcoin fell sharply from its highs and, in his estimate, 60% of ETF inflows are underwater at current prices. That resilience, he argued, makes the source of selling more notable. “So, who has been selling?” Thorn wrote. “The call is coming from inside the house.” Since July 2025, he said coins held by long-term holders have declined more sharply than at any point in the eight years since the 2017 bull run, suggesting older on-chain holders have been net sellers into newer brokerage-led demand. Thorn framed that distribution as painful in the short run but constructive for the asset’s long-run maturity, lifting the average cost basis and broadening ownership. He highlighted bitcoin’s realized market cap above $1.1 trillion and a realized price above $56,000 as evidence of the network’s rising aggregate principal. Related Reading: Bitcoin Extreme Fear Streak Extends To 13 Days On Christmas In a Dec. 21 post summarizing Galaxy’s 2026 outlook, Thorn said Galaxy predicts bitcoin to hit $250,000 by year-end 2027, while calling 2026 “too chaotic to predict.” Options markets, he noted, are currently pricing roughly equal odds of $70,000 or $130,000 by end-June 2026, and $50,000 or $250,000 by year-end 2026, reflecting unusually wide uncertainty bands. He also pointed to a structural decline in longer-term volatility and a changed skew: the BTC vol smile now prices puts as more expensive than calls, which he described as a shift toward patterns more typical of macro assets than high-growth markets. Looking into 2026, Thorn’s near-term marker is whether BTC can “firmly re-establish” itself above $100,000–$105,000. Over the longer run, he argued the bigger story is demand for non-dollar hedges—and how little incremental allocation might be needed to move the market. “We believe it is likely only a matter of time before ‘Bitcoin follows gold to become widely adopted as a monetary debasement hedge.’ It doesn’t take much to start a stampede in that direction – a few major allocators, central banks, or nation states might be all it takes to spark the fuse and light a fire.” At press time, BTC traded at $87,748. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com
Large holders cannot move easily when there is a break in crypto headlines. They strategise earlier, where infrastructure is nearby but focus is yet to come. Such a trend is beginning to emerge with one new DeFi crypto. The action is accumulating in silence and time seems to be the key to the success of the project, rather than bang as it nears its next large milestone. The Financing Mutuum Finance (MUTM) Is Building Mutuum Finance (MUTM) is creating a decentralized lending and borrowing platform to be used as opposed to being traded in the short run. The system enables individuals to deposit their assets into lending pools and make a profit, whereas borrowers get access to liquidity by pledging assets under transparent standards. On the supply side, users are issued with mtTokens. State such tokens are the value within the protocol and improve on value as interest is paid. Suppose that a user deposits assets valued at $2,000, he or she will have given out a winning amount of the mtTokens that will increase with the growth in the borrowing demand. This forms a causal relationship between the use of protocol and yield. The Mutuum Finance imposes specified borrower-loan value ratios and automated foreclosures on the borrowing side. These mechanics enable to maintain the system in equilibrium and secure providers of liquidity. Interest rates also change depending on getting it used where high liquidity leads to borrowing and repayments leading to high liquidity. V1 will be deployed into the Sepolia testnet before Q4 2025. It will also initially support ETH and USDT, and will have core features such as liquidity pools, debt tokens, mtTokens, and an automatic liquidator bot, as well as an ongoing security focus being reviewed by Halborn Security. The Reason Capital Is Accumulating Early So far, Mutuum Finance had attracted approximately $19.45M, and over 18,650 investors joined the project already. These figures are important as they are an indication of constant involvement and not an impromptu outburst. The growth has been slow and this is one of the signals that positioning is long term rather than short term rotation. The start price of the first stage was $0.01. MUTM is currently selling at $0.035 with a 250% increase thus far. Such a price movement has not been in terms of one jump but has been made in stages. To a number of observers, such a course of action implies demand for construction and development. Supply and Distribution The total supply of Mutuum Finance (MUTM) is 4B. Of this sum 45.5% is to be distributed early, amounting to about 1.82B tokens. So far it has sold approximately 825M tokens. With allocation, the supply becomes limited. This transformation usually changes behavior. Participants will ensure that they secure their positions before the future, rather than after it, particularly when the future milestones are apparent. The card payments are also possible with mutuum finance, making it easier to become a new customer and expanding the base of individuals who can participate in it to crypto-native users. The project has a 24-hour leaderboard where the most active member of the day is given $500 in MUTM. This system promotes recurring use and activity that can be a premature sign of attachment as opposed to an accidental interest. Security and Infrastructure Indicators One of the most common causes of increased capital is security reviews. On a CertiK token scan, Mutuum Finance has scored 90/100, which means that its initial security position is strong.. There is also a bug bounty program of $50k that encourages outside developers to test the code. In the case of lending protocols, such layers are required, because they interact directly with pooled capital and collateralized positions. In the future, Mutuum Finance will launch an overcollateralized stablecoin that tracks the interest of borrowers, according to the official roadmap. Stable assets are likely to boost daily activity, thereby boosting the lending needs and liquidity level. The protocol is also structured on strong oracle infrastructure in order to have correct pricing which is most essential in liquidations and risk management. Why Timing Is Tightening Phase 6 currently sells quickly. A whale allocation was recently made of $100k, which made the news, not due to its size, but due to the fact that it came as supply tightened and V1 became more proximate. Large entries at this point may be the indication of such confidence in the execution as opposed to speculation. With V1 coming closer, infrastructure, security and participation are coming together. Mutuum Finance is positioned in a thin range to those who follow the potential best crypto, new crypto, or DeFi crypto projects before 2026. Supply is becoming less, growth is almost within reach and capital placement seems to be speeding up even to a without wider exposure. For more information about Mutuum Finance (MUTM) visit the links below: Website: https://www.mutuum.com Linktree: https://linktr.ee/mutuumfinance
NVIDIA Snatches $5B Intel Stake as SEC Filing Confirms 214.8 Million Intel Shares Sold
It almost feels like a deja vu in the past few weeks, and it happened again on Monday morning as BTC pumped to just over $90,000, only to be rejected violently there and drive immediately south to its starting position. Most larger-cap altcoins followed suit, with ETH going above and below $3,000 in the span of hours. BTC Stopped (Yet Again) The chart below will clearly demonstrate BTC’s inability to break through the $90,000 resistance despite several attempts in the past few weeks. In fact, it has been rejected at least six times since December 16. In the previous business week alone, it tried twice but to no avail. Last Monday, it jumped to $90,500 when the bears stepped up and drove it south by four grand in the next couple of days. Another failed attempt took place on Friday, but this time BTC couldn’t even reach $90,000. What followed were a few days of sideways trading, in which bitcoin remained between $87,000 and $88,000. The bulls went back on the offensive earlier today, driving the cryptocurrency to another weekly high of $90,400. The scenario repeated once again, though. The dead-cat bounce scenario, which many feared, drove bitcoin back down to under $88,000 as of press time. Its market cap is back to $1.750 trillion, while its dominance over the alts is just over 57% on CG. BTCUSD Dec 29. Source: TradingView Alts Stopped Too Ethereum followed the market leader earlier today, surging past $3,000 as it neared $3,050. However, it met the same fate as BTC and is now back to $2,960. BNB has returned to $856, while XRP is beneath the crucial support of $1.90. On a daily scale, SOL, ZEC, and DOGE are slightly in the green, while BCH has lost the most value from the larger-cap alts. CC is up by almost 4% to nearly $0.125. The total crypto market cap gained and lost $70 billion in hours today and is now back to $3.060 trillion on CG. Cryptocurrency Market Overview Daily on Dec 29. Source: QuantifyCrypto The post Bitcoin Rejected at $90K Again, Ethereum Returns Below $3K: Market Watch appeared first on CryptoPotato .
BitcoinWorld Galaxy Digital’s Strategic 10M USDT Binance Deposit Signals Major Market Confidence In a significant on-chain transaction reported by The Data Nerd, a cryptocurrency wallet strongly associated with the institutional giant Galaxy Digital moved 10 million USDT to the Binance exchange. This substantial deposit, occurring in the early hours of the morning, immediately captured the attention of market analysts and blockchain observers worldwide. Consequently, the move has sparked widespread discussion about potential strategic shifts within the digital asset landscape. The transaction highlights the increasingly visible role of major financial firms in shaping cryptocurrency market liquidity and sentiment. Analyzing the Galaxy Digital USDT Deposit to Binance The reported transaction involved the transfer of exactly 10,000,000 Tether (USDT) from a specific blockchain address. Blockchain analytics firms, including The Data Nerd, have linked this address to Galaxy Digital’s operational treasury or trading desks through historical patterns and clustering analysis. Furthermore, the destination was a known Binance deposit wallet, a common endpoint for assets entering the exchange’s liquidity pool. This deposit follows a period of relative stability for the stablecoin market, making the timing particularly noteworthy for several key reasons. Firstly, the sheer size of the deposit represents a meaningful capital allocation. Secondly, the choice of USDT, the world’s largest stablecoin by market capitalization, underscores its role as the primary settlement and trading pair asset. Thirdly, the move to Binance, a global exchange with deep liquidity, suggests a preparation for immediate market activity. Market data shows that large, traceable deposits from known entities often precede significant trading volumes, whether for accumulation, hedging, or providing market-making liquidity. Transaction Metric Detail Asset Tether (USDT) Amount 10,000,000 Reported Source Wallet linked to Galaxy Digital Destination Binance Exchange Key Implication Preparation for liquidity deployment Institutional Moves and Crypto Market Context Galaxy Digital, founded by investor Mike Novogratz, operates as a full-service financial platform dedicated to the digital asset ecosystem. The firm engages in trading, asset management, investment banking, and mining services. Therefore, its on-chain activity is closely monitored as a barometer for institutional sentiment and strategy. A deposit of this nature does not occur in a vacuum; it exists within a broader market context defined by several critical factors. Macroeconomic Conditions: Institutional players often adjust crypto strategies based on interest rate expectations and traditional market volatility. Regulatory Developments: Evolving global regulations impact how firms like Galaxy Digital manage and deploy capital. Exchange Dynamics: Binance’s position as a liquidity hub makes it a preferred venue for large-scale entry and exit. Stablecoin Utility: USDT serves as the primary on-ramp and off-ramp for many institutional trading desks. Historically, similar large stablecoin inflows to exchanges have correlated with increased buying pressure for major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum. However, they can also signal preparations for short-selling or complex derivatives strategies. The neutral, factual interpretation is that capital is being positioned for imminent use, reflecting an active view on near-term market opportunities or risks. Expert Analysis of Treasury Management Signals From a treasury management perspective, moving $10 million in stablecoins is a routine operational activity for a firm of Galaxy Digital’s scale. Nonetheless, blockchain transparency turns this routine into a public data point. Experts in on-chain analytics emphasize that single transactions require cautious interpretation. A holistic view considers the firm’s total wallet activity, withdrawal patterns from exchanges, and net flow trends over weeks or months. For instance, if this deposit is followed by sustained withdrawals of Bitcoin from Binance to cold storage, it could indicate a swap from stablecoins into a long-term Bitcoin position. Conversely, if the USDT remains on the exchange or is used to open perpetual swap positions, it suggests a different trading tactic. The firm itself has not commented on the specific transaction, which is standard practice to protect proprietary strategy. This adherence to operational secrecy is a hallmark of professional asset managers. The Technical and Strategic Implications of the Transfer On a technical level, the transaction demonstrates the seamless movement of high-value assets on public blockchains. The Ethereum network, which hosts most USDT, settled this transfer in minutes for a negligible fee. This efficiency underpins the modern institutional crypto infrastructure. Strategically, the move aligns with observed behaviors where firms increase exchange balances ahead of anticipated volatility or major market events. Potential strategic objectives behind such a deposit include: Market Making: Providing buy and sell liquidity for clients or proprietary books. Asset Acquisition: Preparing to purchase other cryptocurrencies at perceived favorable prices. Collateral Posting: Securing positions in decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols or for exchange-based margin trading. Client Facilitation: Executing large OTC (over-the-counter) trades that require immediate settlement on an exchange. Each objective carries different implications for market direction. Without subsequent on-chain evidence, however, determining the exact intent remains speculative. The definitive takeaway is one of activity and preparedness from a leading institutional participant. Conclusion The deposit of 10 million USDT to Binance from a wallet linked to Galaxy Digital represents a clear signal of institutional engagement within the cryptocurrency markets. This transaction underscores the mature infrastructure now supporting digital asset transfers and the critical role of stablecoins like USDT in facilitating liquidity. While the specific intent behind the Galaxy Digital deposit remains part of the firm’s confidential strategy, the move highlights proactive capital deployment. Ultimately, such visible actions by established financial services firms continue to validate the operational scale and sophistication of the digital asset industry, providing tangible data points for market analysts and observers worldwide. FAQs Q1: What does a large USDT deposit to an exchange typically mean? Typically, it signals that an entity is preparing capital for immediate use on the exchange, such as trading, providing liquidity, or posting collateral. It moves funds from a private wallet into the exchange’s controlled liquidity pool. Q2: How do analysts link a wallet to a company like Galaxy Digital? Analysts use blockchain clustering techniques, tracing historical transactions from known addresses (like public exchange deposits from the company), analyzing patterns, and sometimes using tagged data from analytics platforms to establish probable ownership. Q3: Could this transaction be for something other than buying Bitcoin or Ethereum? Absolutely. While purchasing major assets is one possibility, the funds could also be used for market making, trading altcoins, securing derivatives positions, or facilitating OTC trades for clients. Q4: Does Galaxy Digital commenting on this transaction? As of standard operational practice, Galaxy Digital has not publicly commented on this specific transaction. Major financial firms rarely disclose the intent behind individual treasury movements to protect their strategic edge. Q5: How significant is a $10 million transfer for a firm like Galaxy Digital? While a notable public data point, $10 million is a routine operational scale for a multi-billion dollar asset manager. It reflects active treasury management rather than an all-in directional bet on the market. This post Galaxy Digital’s Strategic 10M USDT Binance Deposit Signals Major Market Confidence first appeared on BitcoinWorld .