Why This Bitcoin Bear Market Is Among The Worst Ever: CryptoQuant Researcher

  vor 9 Monaten

The price of Bitcoin is nearly 45% away from its all-time high of $126,080, reflecting a worsening market climate over the past few months. One of the indicators that confirmed the emergence of the bear market was the breach of the 365-day moving average to the downside late last year. Using this metric, a prominent crypto researcher has come forward with an evaluation that shows how the current Bitcoin bear market compares to the past ones. BTC Price Is 30% Below 365-Day Moving Average In a new post on the social media platform X, CryptoQuant’s head of research, Julio Moreno, revealed that the current bear market performance compares to the ones seen in Bitcoin’s recent history. The indicator in focus in this analysis is the 365-day simple moving average (SMA) on the BTC price chart. Moreno defined the start of the bear market as the moment when the price of Bitcoin crossed below the 365-day SMA. According to the on-chain expert, the premier cryptocurrency is down by 30% so far in the current phase, making it one of the worst bear seasons in recent times. As observed in the chart above, the Bitcoin price is deeper than it is often seen at this stage of the bear market. During the 2014 bear market, the flagship cryptocurrency was barely down by 20% at this current stage of the season. The same could be said for the 2018 bear season, which was more around the 20% market at this stage. However, the price of Bitcoin might have succumbed to greater pressure during the 2022 season , as the market leader was down from its 365-day moving average by nearly 60% at this stage of the cycle. This trend is especially interesting, considering that Bitcoin is believed to have matured as an asset class. However, the world’s largest cryptocurrency still appears to witness incredible levels of volatility at the beginning of the bear market. While it is unclear when the Bitcoin price will reach a bottom, certain conditions need to be met for a turnaround to occur. One of these conditions is the apparent demand metric , which has continued to worsen over the past few weeks. As seen in the outflow numbers of the US-based Bitcoin ETFs, capital constraints have been a major issue for the premier cryptocurrency. Bitcoin Price At A Glance As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $70,500, reflecting an over 2% jump in the past 24 hours.

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LATAM crypto: Argentina’s Bitcoin treasury, Brazil’s tokenization milestone

  vor 9 Monaten

The top cryptocurrency news in LATAM this week includes: XDC Network crosses $100 million in tokenized assets in Brazil, Argentina introduces its first public Bitcoin treasury model, and Brazilian investors express increasing interest in “digital gold” in light of the metal’s recent surge. Argentina’s first public Bitcoin Treasury model Argentina’s public Bitcoin treasury represents a significant advancement in the use of cryptocurrencies in one of the busiest markets in South America. In this regard, Zonda Bitcoin Capital stands out as a plan that combines tax benefits, exposure to ETFs, and a public company structure to increase access to Bitcoin. A public Bitcoin treasury is a publicly traded business that primarily holds Bitcoin (BTC), giving investors price exposure without actually purchasing or keeping the asset. Zonda Bitcoin Capital was co-founded by Leonardo Rubinstein, former CEO of Ank and OLX Argentina, and Pablo Herman, co-founder of Swiss Medical. The firm plans to purchase BlackRock’s IBIT ETF through a US brokerage account with custody at Coinbase, aiming to reduce technical barriers and add operational rigour. The structure offers tax advantages for individuals, allows corporations to gain crypto exposure without changing mandates, and opens new product opportunities for banks and brokerages. The company also aims to increase the amount of Bitcoin per share over time, explore tokenised share issuance, and reach an initial strategic target of 1,810 BTC. XDC Network surpasses $100 million in tokenised assets in Brazil Through its collaboration with Liqi Digital Assets, XDC Network, a public blockchain centred on institutional-grade financial applications, has amassed more than $100 million in tokenised real-world assets (RWAs) in Brazil. RWAs are typical financial instruments that are represented on blockchain. Tokenisation is the process that makes it possible to register credits, securities, and other comparable assets digitally with increased operational efficiency and transparency. By 2026, the project wants to issue $500 million worth of tokens. With participation from prominent Brazilian financial institutions such as Banco Itaú, Banco ABC, Banco BV, and credit manager Milenio Capital, the majority of issuances on the network are concentrated in credit assets and regulated structures. With its near-instantaneous transaction finality, minimal costs, robust security, and conformity with the international ISO 20022 financial messaging standard, XDC Network is made for regulated markets. Company leaders claim that this milestone solidifies Brazil’s position as a leading market in the tokenisation of financial assets throughout Latin America and indicates the country’s increasing institutional adoption of blockchain. Gold’s rally fuels surge in ‘digital gold’ trading in Brazil Brazilian interest in digital copies of gold traded on the cryptocurrency market has increased amid the metal’s recent significant rise, despite a recent drop. The volume of transactions in so-called “digital gold,” such as the Pax Gold (PAXG) token, increased by around 300% in 2025, according to a survey conducted by Mercado Bitcoin (MB). According to local media outlet InfoMoney, the rate of growth indicates an increasing tendency among local investors , notwithstanding the market’s continued small size. However, according to MB, the development is a result of growing interest in several avenues for gaining exposure to gold. The post LATAM crypto: Argentina’s Bitcoin treasury, Brazil’s tokenization milestone appeared first on Invezz

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‘Falling Knife’: Gemini and ChatGPT Predict Shocking Lows for Cardano’s ADA

  vor 9 Monaten

Cardano’s native token is once again under heavy pressure, alongside most of the market. However, while BTC and most other alts crashed to their lowest levels since the US presidential elections in late 2024, ADA went even further, dropping to $0.222 (on Bitstamp and other exchanges) for the first time since June 2023. Despite recovering slightly to $0.27, the token is still 34% down monthly. Moreover, it has plunged by 80% since its cycle top at $1.33 marked in late 2024. Consequently, we asked ChatGPT and Gemini whether the worst is behind ADA or if there is more pain around the corner. ChatGPT Says… ChatGPT began with some harsh words for Cardano investors, suggesting that the decline to the $0.22 area is “not just another routine dip.” Instead, it believes it represents a “structural breakdown of long-term support, confirming that sellers remain firmly in control.” This was proven after the asset plunged below key support levels at $0.40, $0.30, and even $0.25 (which was later reclaimed, though). What could spell further trouble for ADA looking ahead is that these consecutive price drops suggest that “the buy-the-dip demand has steadily weakened” lately. As such, all eyes have now turned to the $0.20 support, which has become the “line in the sand.” If ADA is to fall below that psychological level, the most realistic target during the ongoing bear phase would be a dip to $0.15-$0.16. However, ChatGPT outlined a more extreme capitulation scenario, in which the token plummets to $0.10-$0.12. “While this may sound shocking, large-cap altcoins have historically lost 80-90% from cycle highs during severe downturns. ADA is not immune to that pattern,” it concluded. Gemini’s Take Dumping below $0.30 meant that ADA’s daily chart has turned into a “falling knife,” said Gemini. This breakdown below the multi-year support was the “final nail in the coffin for many long-term holders.” On its way down, the asset dumped below its 200-day MA (at around $0.45), and it obliterated millions in leveraged longs. Gemini’s “nightmare” scenario envisions a drop to even below $0.10 if certain factors align in an adverse manner: “If Bitcoin capitulates to $55K in the coming weeks, ADA risks losing its status as a “major” altcoin. A breakdown below $0.15 opens a liquidity vacuum all the way down to $0.09. While this sounds impossible, remember that “impossible” things happen regularly in crypto winters,” it warned. The post ‘Falling Knife’: Gemini and ChatGPT Predict Shocking Lows for Cardano’s ADA appeared first on CryptoPotato .

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Two High Schoolers Charged in Arizona Home Invasion Targeting $66M in Crypto

  vor 9 Monaten

Two teenagers from California are facing serious felony charges after authorities say they traveled hundreds of miles to carry out a violent home invasion in Scottsdale, Arizona, in a bid to obtain cryptocurrency believed to be worth $66 million. Key Takeaways: Two California teens allegedly traveled over 600 miles to carry out a violent home invasion targeting $66 million in cryptocurrency. Police arrested the suspects shortly after they fled the scene and recovered restraints and a 3D-printed firearm. Investigators say unknown contacts on an encrypted messaging app directed the plot and funded supplies. According to court records cited by local media , the 16- and 17-year-old suspects drove more than 600 miles from San Luis Obispo County and arrived at a residence in the Sweetwater Ranch neighborhood on the morning of Jan. 31 wearing delivery-style uniforms resembling those used by shipping carriers. Investigators say they forced entry into the home, restrained two adults with duct tape and demanded access to digital assets. One victim denied holding cryptocurrency, after which the confrontation escalated into physical assault. Police Stop Suspects After Violent Home Invasion Attempt Police were alerted when an adult son elsewhere in the house called emergency services. Officers arriving at the property found a struggle underway and one victim screaming. The suspects fled in a blue Subaru but were stopped at a dead end shortly afterward. Authorities recovered zip ties, duct tape, stolen license plates and a 3D-printed firearm without ammunition. It remains unclear whether the weapon was functional. Both teens were initially placed in juvenile detention but prosecutors intend to try them as adults. Each faces eight counts including kidnapping, aggravated assault and burglary, while the older suspect also faces an unlawful flight charge. They were later released on $50,000 bail and fitted with electronic monitoring devices. A 19 year old who conducted a December 2024 wrench attack in Texas will spend the next 45 years in prison He and two accomplices posed as DoorDash drivers before ambushing a family and demanding their crypto Glad to see justice served – hope this serves as a warning to others pic.twitter.com/vOvtocQUB6 — Beau (@beausecurity) January 14, 2026 Investigators say the younger suspect told police the pair had recently met and were directed by unknown individuals communicating through the encrypted messaging platform Signal. The contacts, identified only as “Red” and “8,” allegedly supplied the address and sent $1,000 for disguises and equipment purchased at retail stores. The suspect also claimed he had been pressured into participating after being invited on a trip to “tie people up” for access to cryptocurrency. Wrench Attacks on Crypto Holders Rise Sharply in 2025 The case reflects a broader rise in so-called wrench attacks , physical assaults aimed at forcing crypto holders to hand over private keys. Security researcher Jameson Lopp’s public database lists roughly 70 such incidents in 2025, a sharp increase from the previous year. The Scottsdale attack is the first recorded US case of 2026, though many incidents are believed to go unreported. Security analysts say criminals are increasingly using leaked personal data to identify targets and recruiting young perpetrators online to reduce traceability. A recent industry breach involving customer identity information has been cited by investigators as a factor increasing exposure risks. Authorities have not linked the incident to separate cryptocurrency ransom demands reported the same day in Tucson, about two hours away. The post Two High Schoolers Charged in Arizona Home Invasion Targeting $66M in Crypto appeared first on Cryptonews .

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South Korea’s Bithumb Exchange Accidentally Sends $44 Billion in Bitcoin to Users

  vor 9 Monaten

South Korean cryptocurrency exchange Bithumb mistakenly distributed approximately 620,000 bitcoins, worth around $44 billion, to 695 customers during a promotional event. The company quickly acted to restrict trading and withdrawals, claiming to have recovered 99.7% of the erroneously distributed cryptocurrency within 35 minutes of the incident. The exchange emphasized that the mistake was not caused

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The Last Window to Buy This Cheap Crypto at 50% Discount, Investors Rush in

  vor 9 Monaten

As expensive top cryptos show signs of saturation, a new altcoin wave of innovation is starting to capture the attention of experienced market participants. One emerging opportunity is moving into a late stage of its current cycle, creating a growing sense of urgency among those who closely follow new technology. This shift is not just about speculation. It reflects the move from ideas to working products. As the project prepares for its next big crypto milestone, the chance to engage at current levels is narrowing. For investors watching the signals, this moment stands out as an important turning point that may not come again. The Vision of the Mutuum Finance (MUTM) Mutuum Finance (MUTM) is developing a decentralized lending system designed to connect long-term crypto holdings with short-term liquidity. The protocol allows users to access funds without selling their assets by using non-custodial smart contracts instead of a traditional bank. Risk is managed through Loan-to-Value (LTV) limits. For example, with a 70% LTV, depositing $10,000 in crypto could allow access to up to $7,000 in liquidity. Users who supply assets can earn yield shown as APY. Supplying $2,000 at a 9% APY could generate around $180 per year, depending on platform usage. This structure keeps the system simple, transparent, and fully on-chain. The presale distribution plan of this project has proved to be very effective and more than 19,000 holders have been attracted and over $20.4 million capital raised. This wide base of followers makes the protocol strong enough in the community to roll out on a large scale. This ecosystem is based on the MUTM token that forms the core of governance and security. Out of 4 billion total supply of tokens, about half of the supply is bought by people who were early members of the community. With such a systematic strategy, this project has been able to develop a healthy treasury and a base of loyal users at the same time. V1 Protocol Launch Mutuum Finance has achieved its biggest technical milestone to date in accordance with an official statement on the X account of the project. The V1 protocol is activated and the community can interact with the core lending and borrowing interactions. This action is a certainty that the protocol has become more than a concept, more than a working piece of financial infrastructure. To secure maximum safety, the code has been thoroughly audited in terms of security by Halborn, a global pioneer in the field of cybersecurity. The protocol has a high CertiK score as well and has an active $50,000 bug bounty. Owing to this technical maturity and safety which has been proven, analysts are estimating an excellent beginning of the token. According to the opinions of many experts, MUTM may have a first target of $0.12 soon after the release of the mainnet, which is a considerable 3x leap forward in terms of its current price. The Long-Term Price Path The protocol’s whitepaper has inimitable growth drivers such as mtTokens and a buy-and-distribute model. In the provision of liquidity, users are given a set of mtTokens which increase by default as the borrowers repay interest. Moreover, part of the total platform fees gets repurchased MUTM tokens on the open market to compensate long-term players. Analysts consider such mechanics to be strong long-term stimulants. The second price prediction is based on the current momentum which indicates a potential 500% increment of the current stage. In this model, it is assumed that the more users secure their tokens to gain yield; the supply in the market will shrink, and the value will be pushed up. This is the demand-based expansion that makes utility-backed protocols and simple speculative assets different. Going even deeper into the future, the analysts expect the protocol to be involved in the market cycle of 2026-2027. Professional estimates are that there is a long term goal of $0.45 to $0.65 which is the protocol increasing its lending rate. This long-term forecast is supported by the fact that the protocol can make real money and be secured on an institutional level. The Phase 7 Urgency At present, the project reaches Phase 7, and the token costs $0.04. It is a final opportunity to get tokens before the formal listing price of $0.06 comes into effect. Demand is too high that Phase 7 is selling at a rate it has never sold before. The project has a 24-hour leaderboard to ensure that the community is active and the best contributor of the day is given a bonus of $500 in MUTM. The ecosystem is open to all participants, as they can join it through direct card payments. With 50% of the discount window against the launch price. Mutuum Finance is prepared to dominate the next crypto generation of DeFi with a working testnet and a successful audit. For more information about Mutuum Finance (MUTM) visit the links below: Website: https://www.mutuum.com Linktree: https://linktr.ee/mutuumfinance

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